Seraing United
vs
Liège
Garuda Lions Prediction: Seraing United
2 – 1 Predicted score · 7% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.69 vs 1.85.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Seraing United vs Liège overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Seraing United vs Liège
| Probability | Seraing United | Draw | Liège |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 55.5% | 19.1% | 25.4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 55.5% | 19.1% | 25.4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Seraing United
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.69 vs 1.85.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Seraing United vs Liège match preview
Seraing United will face Liège in the Challenger Pro League on October 30, 2026. According to our model, Seraing United has a 52% probability of winning, while Liège stands at 28%, with a 20% chance of a draw. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 2-1 in favor of Seraing United, with an expected goals tally of 2.52 for Seraing and 1.86 for Liège.
Recent form shows Seraing United with two losses, one win, one draw, and two additional losses, while Liège has two losses, one win, one draw, and two more draws. Our model indicates a high likelihood of over 2.5 goals at 81% and both teams scoring at 78%. The confidence grade for this match is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Seraing United and Liège expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.54
Seraing United and Liège attack and defence ratings
Seraing United
Liège
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Seraing United vs Liège markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Seraing United | 55.5% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 83.1% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 79.1% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 80.9% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 44.5% | 2.25 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Seraing United | 55.5% |
| Draw | 19.1% | |
| Liège | 25.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 83.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 16.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 79.1% |
| No | 20.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 80.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 44.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Seraing United win | 36.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.6% | |
| Loss | 44.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 7.1% |
| 2-2 | 6.6% | |
| 3-1 | 6.4% |
Seraing United vs Liège stats
Seraing United and Liège recent form
| Seraing United |
WLLWDL |
| Liège |
LLLWLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Seraing United and Liège season so far
Seraing United record
- They have won 0 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 0.7 at home.
Liège record
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
Seraing United vs Liège head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-24 | Seraing United | Liège | Challenger Pro League | 2-2 |
| 2025-08-17 | Liège | Seraing United | Challenger Pro League | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.