Francs Borains
vs
Seraing United
Garuda Lions Prediction: Francs Borains
2 – 1 Predicted score · 8% model probability
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Francs Borains is the favourite, not a value bet.
Francs Borains vs Seraing United overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Francs Borains vs Seraing United
| Probability | Francs Borains | Draw | Seraing United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36.8% | 27.8% | 35.4% |
| Market | 45.5% | 26.0% | 28.5% |
| Final | 43.3% | 26.5% | 30.2% |
| Edge | -2.2% | +0.4% | +1.7% |
Best available price on the pick: 2.10, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -9.0% per unit staked (our 43.3% × 2.10 − 1).
Francs Borains vs Seraing United match preview
Francs Borains will host Seraing United in the Challenger Pro League on November 7, 2026. According to our model, Francs Borains has a 39% chance of winning, while Seraing United has a 34% probability. The most likely scoreline is 2-1 in favor of Francs Borains, with a 9% likelihood. The model also suggests a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% probability that both teams will score.
In terms of recent form, Francs Borains has recorded two wins followed by a loss, while Seraing United has alternated between wins and losses, with their latest match resulting in a draw. The expected goals for Francs Borains stand at 1.52, compared to 1.39 for Seraing United. Historically, in their last two encounters, Francs Borains has not secured a win against Seraing United, who has one victory and one draw.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Francs Borains and Seraing United expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.78
Francs Borains and Seraing United attack and defence ratings
Francs Borains
Seraing United
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Francs Borains vs Seraing United markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Francs Borains | 43.3% | 2.31 | -2.2% | 2.10 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.5% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.5% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.5% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 63.2% | 1.58 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Francs Borains | 43.3% |
| Draw | 26.5% | |
| Seraing United | 30.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 47.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.5% |
| No | 42.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 56.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Francs Borains win | 17.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.1% | |
| Loss | 63.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.2% |
| 2-1 | 8.4% | |
| 1-2 | 8.2% |
Francs Borains vs Seraing United stats
Francs Borains and Seraing United recent form
| Francs Borains |
WLLLWW |
| Seraing United |
WWLLWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Francs Borains and Seraing United season so far
Francs Borains record
- They have won 5 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 59% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Seraing United record
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
Francs Borains vs Seraing United head-to-head
Last 7 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-24 | Francs Borains | Seraing United | Friendlies Clubs | 4-2 |
| 2026-03-08 | Seraing United | Francs Borains | Challenger Pro League | 4-0 |
| 2025-09-23 | Francs Borains | Seraing United | Challenger Pro League | 0-0 |
| 2025-01-25 | Seraing United | Francs Borains | Challenger Pro League | 1-1 |
| 2024-11-03 | Francs Borains | Seraing United | Challenger Pro League | 0-1 |
| 2024-01-14 | Seraing United | Francs Borains | Challenger Pro League | 1-5 |
| 2023-09-30 | Francs Borains | Seraing United | Challenger Pro League | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Francs Borains vs Seraing United odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 45.5%, draw 26.0%, away 28.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.97 | 3.50 | 3.20 |
| Bet365 | 2.00 | 3.50 | 3.25 |
| BetVictor | 2.00 | 3.50 | 3.20 |
| Betano | 2.05 | 3.55 | 3.20 |
| Betfair | 2.00 | 3.60 | 3.20 |
| Dafabet | 2.10 | 3.65 | 3.30 |
| Marathonbet | 1.95 | 3.50 | 3.12 |
| Pinnacle | 2.09 | 3.68 | 3.22 |
| SBO | 1.93 | 3.18 | 2.95 |
| William Hill | 2.05 | 3.40 | 3.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .