K. Lierse S.K.
vs
AS Eupen
Garuda Lions Prediction: AS Eupen
0 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyBetter recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — AS Eupen is the favourite, not a value bet.
K. Lierse S.K. vs AS Eupen overview
Garuda Lions analysis: K. Lierse S.K. vs AS Eupen
| Probability | K. Lierse S.K. | Draw | AS Eupen |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 30.8% | 29.2% | 40.1% |
| Market | 23.2% | 24.8% | 52.0% |
| Final | 25.1% | 25.9% | 49.0% |
| Edge | +1.9% | +1.1% | -3.0% |
Why AS Eupen
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.81, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -11.3% per unit staked (our 49.0% × 1.81 − 1).
K. Lierse S.K. vs AS Eupen match preview
K. Lierse S.K. faces AS Eupen in the Challenger Pro League with kickoff scheduled for November 8, 2026. According to our model, K. Lierse S.K. has a 25% chance of winning, while AS Eupen is favored with a 48% probability. The most likely scoreline predicted is 0-1, occurring at a rate of 10%. K. Lierse S.K. has struggled recently, recording a form of L-L-W-L-L-D, whereas AS Eupen has shown improvement with a recent form of L-L-L-W-W-W.
In terms of expected goals, K. Lierse S.K. is projected to score 1.17, while AS Eupen is expected to net 1.37. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is estimated at 46%, and both teams scoring is projected at 53%. Historically, K. Lierse S.K. has won both of their last two encounters against AS Eupen, which adds an interesting dynamic to this matchup.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
K. Lierse S.K. and AS Eupen expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.53
K. Lierse S.K. and AS Eupen attack and defence ratings
K. Lierse S.K.
AS Eupen
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
K. Lierse S.K. vs AS Eupen markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | AS Eupen | 49.0% | 2.04 | -3.0% | 1.81 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 53.5% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.6% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 74.9% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.9% | 1.67 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | K. Lierse S.K. | 25.1% |
| Draw | 25.9% | |
| AS Eupen | 49.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 53.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.6% |
| No | 47.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 51.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 74.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | AS Eupen win | 19.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.8% | |
| Loss | 59.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.9% |
| 0-1 | 9.6% | |
| 0-0 | 9.2% |
K. Lierse S.K. vs AS Eupen stats
K. Lierse S.K. and AS Eupen recent form
| K. Lierse S.K. |
LLWLLD |
| AS Eupen |
LLLWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
K. Lierse S.K. and AS Eupen season so far
K. Lierse S.K. record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
AS Eupen record
- They have won 5 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.7 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
K. Lierse S.K. vs AS Eupen head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-10 | AS Eupen | K. Lierse S.K. | Challenger Pro League | 0-1 |
| 2025-08-23 | K. Lierse S.K. | AS Eupen | Challenger Pro League | 3-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
K. Lierse S.K. vs AS Eupen odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 23.2%, draw 24.8%, away 52.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.92 | 3.62 | 1.74 |
| Bet365 | 4.00 | 3.70 | 1.70 |
| Betano | 3.90 | 3.70 | 1.80 |
| Dafabet | 4.10 | 3.95 | 1.81 |
| Marathonbet | 3.84 | 3.62 | 1.72 |
| Pinnacle | 4.11 | 3.91 | 1.77 |
| SBO | 3.59 | 3.41 | 1.67 |
| William Hill | 3.90 | 3.50 | 1.75 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
5 snapshots recorded, from .