Sporting Hasselt
vs
Patro Eisden
Garuda Lions Prediction: Sporting Hasselt
2 – 1 Predicted score · 8% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.26 vs 1.71.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Sporting Hasselt is the favourite, not a value bet.
Sporting Hasselt vs Patro Eisden overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sporting Hasselt vs Patro Eisden
| Probability | Sporting Hasselt | Draw | Patro Eisden |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49.6% | 21.6% | 28.8% |
| Market | 41.8% | 26.5% | 31.7% |
| Final | 43.8% | 25.3% | 30.9% |
| Edge | +1.9% | -1.2% | -0.7% |
Why Sporting Hasselt
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.26 vs 1.71.
Best available price on the pick: 2.26, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -1.1% per unit staked (our 43.8% × 2.26 − 1).
Sporting Hasselt vs Patro Eisden match preview
Sporting Hasselt faces Patro Eisden in the Challenger Pro League on November 6, 2026. According to our model, Sporting Hasselt has a 43% probability of winning, while Patro Eisden stands at 31%, with a draw at 26%. The expected goals for Sporting Hasselt are 2.26, compared to 1.71 for Patro Eisden. The most likely scoreline is 2-1 in favor of Sporting Hasselt, occurring with an 8% probability.
Recent form shows Sporting Hasselt with three wins and three losses in their last six matches, while Patro Eisden has also recorded three wins and three losses. In their last two encounters, neither team has secured a win, with Sporting Hasselt and Patro Eisden both recording two draws. Our model indicates a high likelihood of over 2.5 goals at 76% and both teams scoring at 74%.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Sporting Hasselt and Patro Eisden expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.97
Sporting Hasselt and Patro Eisden attack and defence ratings
Sporting Hasselt
Patro Eisden
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Sporting Hasselt vs Patro Eisden markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sporting Hasselt | 43.8% | 2.28 | +1.9% | 2.26 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 75.8% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 74.1% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.7% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.4% | 1.98 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sporting Hasselt | 43.8% |
| Draw | 25.3% | |
| Patro Eisden | 30.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 75.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 24.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 74.1% |
| No | 25.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 56.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sporting Hasselt win | 30.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.2% | |
| Loss | 50.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 8.2% |
| 1-1 | 8.0% | |
| 2-2 | 7.1% |
Sporting Hasselt vs Patro Eisden stats
Sporting Hasselt and Patro Eisden recent form
| Sporting Hasselt |
WLWWLW |
| Patro Eisden |
WWLWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Sporting Hasselt and Patro Eisden season so far
Sporting Hasselt record
- They have won 5 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game on the road against 0.3 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
Patro Eisden record
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
Sporting Hasselt vs Patro Eisden head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-05-05 | Patro Eisden | Sporting Hasselt | Second Amateur Division - VFV B | 3-3 |
| 2018-12-08 | Sporting Hasselt | Patro Eisden | Second Amateur Division - VFV B | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Sporting Hasselt vs Patro Eisden odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 41.8%, draw 26.5%, away 31.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.19 | 3.24 | 2.93 |
| Bet365 | 2.15 | 3.60 | 2.80 |
| BetVictor | 2.20 | 3.60 | 2.88 |
| Betano | 2.22 | 3.50 | 2.90 |
| Betfair | 2.15 | 3.40 | 2.88 |
| Dafabet | 2.25 | 3.65 | 3.00 |
| Marathonbet | 2.17 | 3.24 | 2.86 |
| Pinnacle | 2.26 | 3.48 | 3.17 |
| SBO | 2.13 | 3.19 | 2.72 |
| William Hill | 2.15 | 3.40 | 2.75 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .