Liège
vs
Patro Eisden
Garuda Lions Prediction: Patro Eisden
1 – 2 Predicted score · 8% model probability
- WhyBetter recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Patro Eisden is the favourite, not a value bet.
Liège vs Patro Eisden overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Liège vs Patro Eisden
| Probability | Liège | Draw | Patro Eisden |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36.1% | 23.9% | 40.1% |
| Market | 35.2% | 26.9% | 37.9% |
| Final | 35.4% | 26.2% | 38.4% |
| Edge | +0.2% | -0.8% | +0.5% |
Why Patro Eisden
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 2.48, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -4.7% per unit staked (our 38.4% × 2.48 − 1).
Liège vs Patro Eisden match preview
Liège faces Patro Eisden in the Challenger Pro League with both teams showing mixed recent form. Liège has recorded two losses, one win, two draws in their last five matches, while Patro Eisden has a record of two wins and three losses in the same period. According to our model, the probabilities for this match are Liège at 35%, a draw at 26%, and Patro Eisden at 39%. The expected goals are 1.73 for Liège and 1.83 for Patro Eisden, suggesting a competitive matchup.
The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-2, occurring at an 8% probability. There is a strong expectation for goals, with a 69% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 70% likelihood that both teams will score. The head-to-head record indicates that Liège has not won against Patro Eisden in their last two encounters, with one draw and one win for Patro Eisden.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Liège and Patro Eisden expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.55
Liège and Patro Eisden attack and defence ratings
Liège
Patro Eisden
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Liège vs Patro Eisden markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Patro Eisden | 38.4% | 2.60 | +0.5% | 2.48 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.9% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.9% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.8% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.9% | 1.67 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Liège | 35.4% |
| Draw | 26.2% | |
| Patro Eisden | 38.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 31.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.9% |
| No | 30.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 61.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 64.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Patro Eisden win | 21.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.2% | |
| Loss | 59.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.9% |
| 1-2 | 8.2% | |
| 2-1 | 7.8% |
Liège vs Patro Eisden stats
Liège and Patro Eisden recent form
| Liège |
LLWLDD |
| Patro Eisden |
LWWLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Liège and Patro Eisden season so far
Liège record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
Patro Eisden record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Liège vs Patro Eisden head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-10 | Patro Eisden | Liège | Challenger Pro League | 1-1 |
| 2025-08-30 | Liège | Patro Eisden | Challenger Pro League | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Liège vs Patro Eisden odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 35.2%, draw 26.9%, away 37.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.56 | 3.35 | 2.33 |
| Bet365 | 2.55 | 3.30 | 2.35 |
| Betano | 2.67 | 3.45 | 2.40 |
| Betfair | 2.55 | 3.50 | 2.38 |
| Dafabet | 2.75 | 3.60 | 2.45 |
| Marathonbet | 2.56 | 3.35 | 2.33 |
| Pinnacle | 2.71 | 3.41 | 2.48 |
| SBO | 2.48 | 3.13 | 2.24 |
| William Hill | 2.62 | 3.20 | 2.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .