Lokeren-Temse
vs
KAA Gent II
Garuda Lions Prediction: Lokeren-Temse
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.64 vs 1.31.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Lokeren-Temse is the favourite, not a value bet.
Lokeren-Temse vs KAA Gent II overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Lokeren-Temse vs KAA Gent II
| Probability | Lokeren-Temse | Draw | KAA Gent II |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 65.1% | 18.4% | 16.4% |
| Market | 61.1% | 21.3% | 17.6% |
| Final | 62.1% | 20.6% | 17.3% |
| Edge | +1.0% | -0.7% | -0.3% |
Why Lokeren-Temse
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.64 vs 1.31.
Best available price on the pick: 1.55, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -3.8% per unit staked (our 62.1% × 1.55 − 1).
Lokeren-Temse vs KAA Gent II match preview
Lokeren-Temse hosts KAA Gent II in the Challenger Pro League, with Lokeren-Temse favored to win at a probability of 65%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-1, occurring with a 9% likelihood. The expected goals for Lokeren-Temse stands at 2.64, while KAA Gent II is projected to score 1.31 goals. The match is anticipated to feature over 2.5 goals with a probability of 75%, and both teams are expected to score 69% of the time.
In terms of recent form, Lokeren-Temse has recorded a mixed bag of results, with their last six matches yielding two wins, two losses, and a draw. KAA Gent II's recent performance shows three wins, two draws, and a loss in their last six games. Historically, Lokeren-Temse has dominated their last two encounters against KAA Gent II, winning both matches without conceding.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Lokeren-Temse and KAA Gent II expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.95
Lokeren-Temse and KAA Gent II attack and defence ratings
Lokeren-Temse
KAA Gent II
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Lokeren-Temse vs KAA Gent II markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lokeren-Temse | 62.1% | 1.61 | +1.0% | 1.55 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 75.5% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.5% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.7% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Lokeren-Temse win | 45.1% | 2.22 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lokeren-Temse | 62.1% |
| Draw | 20.6% | |
| KAA Gent II | 17.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 75.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 24.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.5% |
| No | 31.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 37.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Lokeren-Temse win | 45.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.0% | |
| Loss | 34.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 8.8% |
| 3-1 | 7.7% | |
| 1-1 | 7.3% |
Lokeren-Temse vs KAA Gent II stats
Lokeren-Temse and KAA Gent II recent form
| Lokeren-Temse |
LWDWLL |
| KAA Gent II |
WDLDWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Lokeren-Temse and KAA Gent II season so far
Lokeren-Temse record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
KAA Gent II record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
Lokeren-Temse vs KAA Gent II head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-15 | Lokeren-Temse | KAA Gent II | Challenger Pro League | 4-1 |
| 2025-12-07 | KAA Gent II | Lokeren-Temse | Challenger Pro League | 1-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Lokeren-Temse vs KAA Gent II odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 61.1%, draw 21.3%, away 17.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.45 | 4.30 | 5.41 |
| Bet365 | 1.48 | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.50 | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| Betano | 1.55 | 4.25 | 5.00 |
| Betfair | 1.47 | 4.33 | 5.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.55 | 4.60 | 5.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.44 | 4.30 | 5.20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.52 | 4.42 | 5.33 |
| William Hill | 1.50 | 4.00 | 5.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .