KAA Gent II
vs
Seraing United
Garuda Lions Prediction: Seraing United
1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability
KAA Gent II vs Seraing United overview
Garuda Lions analysis: KAA Gent II vs Seraing United
| Probability | KAA Gent II | Draw | Seraing United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 31.6% | 26.3% | 42.1% |
| Market | 37.4% | 26.3% | 36.2% |
| Final | 36.0% | 26.3% | 37.7% |
| Edge | -5.8% | -0.0% | +5.9% |
Why Seraing United
- The market prices Seraing United below the model: +5.9 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 2.65, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
KAA Gent II vs Seraing United match preview
KAA Gent II faces Seraing United in the Challenger Pro League, with kickoff scheduled for October 11, 2026. The model indicates a close contest, assigning KAA Gent II a 36% chance of winning, while Seraing United holds a slight edge at 38%. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 1-2, occurring with a 9% probability. Both teams show a tendency for goals, with an over 2.5 goals probability at 58% and both teams to score at 61%.
In terms of recent form, KAA Gent II has recorded a mixed bag of results, with their last five matches yielding two draws, two losses, and one win. Conversely, Seraing United has struggled, earning only one draw and suffering four losses in their last five outings. Historically, KAA Gent II has been dominant in their last two encounters, winning both without conceding. Expected goals for this match are 1.38 for KAA Gent II and 1.62 for Seraing United.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
KAA Gent II and Seraing United expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.01
KAA Gent II and Seraing United attack and defence ratings
KAA Gent II
Seraing United
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
KAA Gent II vs Seraing United markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Seraing United | 37.7% | 2.65 | +5.9% | 2.65 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.8% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.3% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.7% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.0% | 1.73 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | KAA Gent II | 36.0% |
| Draw | 26.3% | |
| Seraing United | 37.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 42.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.3% |
| No | 38.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 62.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 64.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Seraing United win | 22.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.0% | |
| Loss | 58.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.2% |
| 1-2 | 9.0% | |
| 2-1 | 7.7% |
KAA Gent II vs Seraing United stats
KAA Gent II and Seraing United recent form
| KAA Gent II |
DLDWLD |
| Seraing United |
DLLDLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
KAA Gent II and Seraing United season so far
Seraing United record
- They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
KAA Gent II vs Seraing United head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-19 | KAA Gent II | Seraing United | Challenger Pro League | 3-1 |
| 2025-09-20 | Seraing United | KAA Gent II | Challenger Pro League | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
KAA Gent II vs Seraing United odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 37.4%, draw 26.3%, away 36.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.42 | 3.44 | 2.41 |
| Bet365 | 2.40 | 3.40 | 2.50 |
| Betano | 2.47 | 3.50 | 2.57 |
| Betfair | 2.38 | 3.60 | 2.50 |
| Dafabet | 2.50 | 3.65 | 2.65 |
| Marathonbet | 2.42 | 3.44 | 2.41 |
| Pinnacle | 2.46 | 3.58 | 2.64 |
| SBO | 2.29 | 3.16 | 2.40 |
| William Hill | 2.40 | 3.30 | 2.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .