Beerschot VA
vs
Liège
5 – 1 Full time
| 40′ | Harrison Ondo-Eyi | ||
| 45′ | Mats RitsToshio Lake | ||
| 57′ | Anas Haj Mohamed | ||
| 57′ | Harrison Ondo-EyiKylian Hazard | ||
| 59′ | Arnold Vula Lamb Luth | ||
| 61′ | Reno WilmotsNacim Dendani | ||
| 61′ | Damien MouchampsKevin Shkurti | ||
| 63′ | Arnold Vula Lamb Luth | ||
| 78′ | Milan GovaersDennis Gyamfi | ||
| 78′ | Anas Haj MohamedGlenn Claes | ||
| 81′ | Arnold Vula Lamb Luth | ||
| 82′ | Benoit BruggemanOusmane Camara | ||
| 82′ | Valentin GuillaumeRambok Ryan Wesley Ogam | ||
| 83′ | D'Margio Wright-Phillips | ||
| 87′ | Arnold Vula Lamb LuthEnsar Brahic | ||
| 87′ | D'Margio Wright-PhillipsTakatora Einaga | ||
| 90′ | Dennis Gyamfi |
Match stats
| 27 | Shots | 10 |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 56 | Possession % | 44 |
| 9 | Corners | 3 |
| 10 | Fouls | 4 |
| 0 | Offsides | 5 |
| 2 | Saves | 3 |
| 457 | Accurate passes | 381 |
Beerschot VA vs Liège overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Beerschot VA vs Liège
| Probability | Beerschot VA | Draw | Liège |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 67.6% | 17.9% | 14.5% |
| Market | 64.0% | 20.3% | 15.7% |
| Final | 64.9% | 19.7% | 15.4% |
| Edge | +0.9% | -0.6% | -0.3% |
Why Beerschot VA
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.81 vs 1.60.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Beerschot VA and Liège expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.42
Beerschot VA and Liège attack and defence ratings
Beerschot VA
Liège
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Beerschot VA vs Liège: result vs prediction
Beerschot VA 5 – 1 Liège
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Beerschot VA vs Liège markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Beerschot VA | 64.9% | 1.54 | +0.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 74.6% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.3% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.6% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Beerschot VA win | 43.3% | 2.31 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Beerschot VA | 64.9% |
| Draw | 19.7% | |
| Liège | 15.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 74.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 25.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.3% |
| No | 33.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 80.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 35.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Beerschot VA win | 43.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.0% | |
| Loss | 37.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 8.9% |
| 3-1 | 7.9% | |
| 1-1 | 7.3% |
Beerschot VA vs Liège stats
Beerschot VA and Liège recent form
| Beerschot VA |
WWWWWL |
| Liège |
WLDDLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Beerschot VA and Liège going into this match
Beerschot VA record
- They have won 5 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They average 3.7 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Liège record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
Beerschot VA vs Liège head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | Liège | Beerschot VA | Challenger Pro League | 0-1 |
| 2025-11-28 | Beerschot VA | Liège | Challenger Pro League | 3-0 |
| 2024-10-30 | Beerschot VA | Liège | Belgium Cup | 3-1 |
| 2024-02-04 | Liège | Beerschot VA | Challenger Pro League | 1-4 |
| 2023-11-26 | Beerschot VA | Liège | Challenger Pro League | 3-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Beerschot VA vs Liège odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 64.0%, draw 20.3%, away 15.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.39 | 4.50 | 6.10 |
| Bet365 | 1.42 | 4.33 | 5.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.44 | 4.60 | 6.00 |
| Betano | 1.47 | 4.55 | 5.50 |
| Betfair | 1.36 | 4.60 | 6.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.48 | 4.90 | 5.80 |
| Marathonbet | 1.38 | 4.50 | 5.85 |
| Pinnacle | 1.48 | 4.49 | 6.37 |
| SBO | 1.39 | 4.22 | 5.22 |
| William Hill | 1.44 | 4.00 | 5.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .