Excelsior Virton
vs
Sporting Hasselt
3 – 4 Full time
| 6′ | Abdelsamad Hachem | ||
| 10′ | Javan Ngoyi | ||
| 33′ | Loic Masscho | ||
| 44′ | Andres Labie | ||
| 45′ | Cheick Thiam | ||
| 45′ | Abdelsamad Hachem | ||
| 58′ | Livio Milts | ||
| 60′ | Lucas Eric Vankerkhoven | ||
| 61′ | M. BounouSiebe Van Keymolen | ||
| 61′ | Tyron TorminIhab Goudani El Baraka | ||
| 69′ | Aliou Dembele | ||
| 69′ | Loic MasschoWilson Da Costa | ||
| 75′ | Gaetan AribLuca Maiorano | ||
| 75′ | Paul WadeAntoine Valerio | ||
| 75′ | Nicolas GeritsRyan Sanusi | ||
| 76′ | Geoffry HairemansAlain-Jerry Lufira Luebo | ||
| 76′ | Cheick ThiamNiels Geert Verburgh | ||
| 87′ | Siebe Van Keymolen | ||
| 88′ | Livio Milts | ||
| 90′ | Abdelsamad HachemMarks Inchaud | ||
| 90′ | Javan Ngoyi | ||
| 90′ | Javan Ngoyi |
Match stats
| 20 | Shots | 22 |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Shots on target | 11 |
| 43 | Possession % | 57 |
| 4 | Corners | 7 |
| 10 | Fouls | 18 |
| 0 | Offsides | 4 |
| 6 | Saves | 4 |
| 369 | Accurate passes | 486 |
Excelsior Virton vs Sporting Hasselt overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Excelsior Virton vs Sporting Hasselt
| Probability | Excelsior Virton | Draw | Sporting Hasselt |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 47.8% | 26.8% | 25.4% |
| Market | 36.5% | 25.8% | 37.7% |
| Final | 39.3% | 26.1% | 34.6% |
| Edge | +2.8% | +0.2% | -3.1% |
Why Excelsior Virton
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.73 vs 1.13.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
- The market prices Excelsior Virton below our published probability: +2.8 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Excelsior Virton and Sporting Hasselt expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.86
Excelsior Virton and Sporting Hasselt attack and defence ratings
Excelsior Virton
Sporting Hasselt
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Excelsior Virton vs Sporting Hasselt: result vs prediction
Excelsior Virton 3 – 4 Sporting Hasselt
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Excelsior Virton vs Sporting Hasselt markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Excelsior Virton | 39.3% | 2.55 | +2.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.7% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.1% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.9% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 49.8% | 2.01 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Excelsior Virton | 39.3% |
| Draw | 26.1% | |
| Sporting Hasselt | 34.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 47.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.1% |
| No | 43.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 65.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 60.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Excelsior Virton win | 28.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.2% | |
| Loss | 49.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.8% |
| 2-1 | 9.5% | |
| 1-0 | 9.0% |
Excelsior Virton vs Sporting Hasselt stats
Excelsior Virton and Sporting Hasselt recent form
| Excelsior Virton |
WDWLWW |
| Sporting Hasselt |
WLWLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Excelsior Virton and Sporting Hasselt going into this match
Excelsior Virton record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
Sporting Hasselt record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game on the road against 0.3 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Excelsior Virton vs Sporting Hasselt head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-23 | Excelsior Virton | Sporting Hasselt | Belgium Cup | 3-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Excelsior Virton vs Sporting Hasselt odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 36.5%, draw 25.8%, away 37.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.45 | 3.50 | 2.36 |
| Bet365 | 2.45 | 3.50 | 2.35 |
| BetVictor | 2.55 | 3.60 | 2.45 |
| Betano | 2.47 | 3.60 | 2.52 |
| Betfair | 2.50 | 3.50 | 2.40 |
| Dafabet | 2.65 | 3.70 | 2.50 |
| Marathonbet | 2.45 | 3.50 | 2.36 |
| Pinnacle | 2.57 | 3.86 | 2.49 |
| SBO | 2.49 | 3.19 | 2.30 |
| William Hill | 2.45 | 3.50 | 2.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .