Dender
vs
Club Brugge II
3 – 0 Full time
Dender vs Club Brugge II overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Dender vs Club Brugge II
| Probability | Dender | Draw | Club Brugge II |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50.7% | 26.0% | 23.3% |
| Market | 65.0% | 19.9% | 15.2% |
| Final | 61.4% | 21.4% | 17.2% |
| Edge | -14.3% | +6.2% | +8.1% |
Why Dender
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.72 vs 1.11.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Dender and Club Brugge II expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.83
Dender and Club Brugge II attack and defence ratings
Dender
Club Brugge II
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Dender vs Club Brugge II: result vs prediction
Dender 3 – 0 Club Brugge II
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Dender vs Club Brugge II markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dender | 61.4% | 1.63 | -14.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.8% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.2% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.8% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 49.3% | 2.03 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dender | 61.4% |
| Draw | 21.4% | |
| Club Brugge II | 17.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 46.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.2% |
| No | 43.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 38.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Dender win | 28.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.4% | |
| Loss | 49.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.4% |
| 2-1 | 9.7% | |
| 1-0 | 9.0% |
Dender vs Club Brugge II stats
Dender and Club Brugge II recent form
| Dender |
WWWWWL |
| Club Brugge II |
DDLWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Dender and Club Brugge II going into this match
Dender record
- They have won 5 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Club Brugge II record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
Dender vs Club Brugge II head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03-29 | Club Brugge II | Dender | Challenger Pro League | 0-1 |
| 2023-11-10 | Dender | Club Brugge II | Challenger Pro League | 2-0 |
| 2022-11-25 | Club Brugge II | Dender | Challenger Pro League | 4-1 |
| 2022-10-29 | Dender | Club Brugge II | Challenger Pro League | 3-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Dender vs Club Brugge II odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 65.0%, draw 19.9%, away 15.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.38 | 4.55 | 6.21 |
| Bet365 | 1.38 | 4.33 | 6.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.40 | 4.75 | 6.50 |
| Betano | 1.44 | 4.60 | 5.90 |
| Betfair | 1.36 | 4.60 | 6.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.46 | 4.90 | 6.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.37 | 4.55 | 5.95 |
| Pinnacle | 1.44 | 4.98 | 6.14 |
| SBO | 1.41 | 4.07 | 5.22 |
| William Hill | 1.40 | 4.40 | 5.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .