Challenger Pro League · Full time ·Matchday 7

Patro Eisden vs KRC Genk II

1 – 0 Full time

14′Stef Peeters
30′Stef PeetersZakaria Atteri
39′Seok-ju Hong
45′Christian AkpanSami El Morabet
52′Wout Kapers
68′Kim Myung-junJelle Driessen
69′Kiyan AchahbarShakhmurat Dauletov
72′Radja Nainggolan
82′Jonathan Coenen
85′Seok-ju HongJeremy Bokila
86′Tsubasa KasayanagiIsaias Delpupo
86′Wout KapersLoïc Alvarez Fernandez
90′Lars DietzHasan Jahic
90′Elie Mbavu
90′Djoully Nzoko
90′Jonathan Coenen

Patrostadion, Maasmechelen

Patro Eisden 50%
Draw 23%
KRC Genk II 27%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

15 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 5
45 Possession % 55
3 Corners 4
15 Fouls 19
4 Offsides 5
5 Saves 3
275 Accurate passes 254

Patro Eisden vs KRC Genk II overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Patro Eisden vs KRC Genk II

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityPatro EisdenDrawKRC Genk II
Model33.0%23.6%43.4%
Market56.2%22.8%21.0%
Final50.4%23.0%26.6%
Edge-5.8%+0.2%+5.6%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Patro Eisden ↓ / KRC Genk II → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 10% 8% 5% 2 8% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 88%
3+ goals 70%
No goals 4%

Patro Eisden and KRC Genk II expected goals

Patro Eisden 1.77
KRC Genk II 1.83

Total expected goals: 3.60

Patro Eisden and KRC Genk II attack and defence ratings

Patro Eisden

Attack 0.93 -7%
Defence 1.16 +16%

KRC Genk II

Attack 1.16 +16%
Defence 1.26 +26%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Patro Eisden vs KRC Genk II: result vs prediction

Patro Eisden 1 – 0 KRC Genk II

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

Challenger Pro League

Before and after this match

Patro Eisden vs KRC Genk II markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Patro Eisden 50.4% 1.98 -5.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 69.5% 1.44 — —
Both teams to score Yes 70.1% 1.43 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 77.0% 1.30 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 63.1% 1.59 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Patro Eisden50.4%
Draw23.0%
KRC Genk II26.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.569.5%
Under 2.530.5%
Both teams to scoreYes70.1%
No29.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)73.4%
12 (either side)77.0%
X2 (draw or away)49.6%
Handicap -1Patro Eisden win19.6%
Push (exactly one goal)17.4%
Loss63.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-19.8%
1-28.5%
2-17.4%

Patro Eisden vs KRC Genk II stats

Patro Eisden and KRC Genk II recent form

newest first
Patro Eisden WLLLLL
KRC Genk II DLWWLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Patro Eisden and KRC Genk II going into this match

league record before kick-off

Patro Eisden record

  • They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

KRC Genk II record

  • They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
  • They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.7 on the road.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).

Patro Eisden vs KRC Genk II head-to-head

Last 6 meetings

4Patro Eisden wins 2Draws 0KRC Genk II wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-06Patro EisdenKRC Genk IIChallenger Pro League4-4
2025-09-26KRC Genk IIPatro EisdenChallenger Pro League1-4
2025-02-08Patro EisdenKRC Genk IIChallenger Pro League1-0
2024-12-15KRC Genk IIPatro EisdenChallenger Pro League1-3
2024-03-08Patro EisdenKRC Genk IIChallenger Pro League2-2
2023-12-08KRC Genk IIPatro EisdenChallenger Pro League0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Patro Eisden vs KRC Genk II odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 56.2%, draw 22.8%, away 21.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.60 4.00 4.33
Bet365 1.62 3.75 4.33
Betano 1.67 3.90 4.40
Betfair 1.62 4.00 4.20
Dafabet 1.70 4.10 4.60
Marathonbet 1.58 4.00 4.25
Pinnacle 1.67 4.26 4.52
SBO 1.62 3.63 3.92
William Hill 1.65 3.80 4.20

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.62 ▼ -0.10
X 4.00 ▼ -0.09
2 4.33 ▲ +0.25

13 snapshots recorded, from .