Patro Eisden
vs
KRC Genk II
Garuda Lions Prediction: Patro Eisden
2 – 1 Predicted score · 7% model probability
Patro Eisden vs KRC Genk II overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Patro Eisden vs KRC Genk II
| Probability | Patro Eisden | Draw | KRC Genk II |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 32.5% | 23.5% | 44.0% |
| Market | 56.2% | 22.8% | 21.0% |
| Final | 50.3% | 22.9% | 26.8% |
| Edge | -23.7% | +0.7% | +23.0% |
Best available price on the pick: 1.70, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Patro Eisden vs KRC Genk II match preview
Patro Eisden faces KRC Genk II in the Challenger Pro League on October 11, 2026. The model gives Patro Eisden a 49% chance of winning, while KRC Genk II has a 28% probability, and a draw stands at 23%. The expected goals suggest a competitive match, with Patro Eisden at 1.66 and KRC Genk II at 1.94. The most likely scoreline is 2-1 in favor of Patro Eisden, with a 7% likelihood.
Both teams have shown a tendency for high-scoring matches, with a 70% chance for over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring. In recent form, Patro Eisden has struggled with five consecutive losses before a win, while KRC Genk II has mixed results with two wins and four losses in their last six matches. The head-to-head record favors Patro Eisden with one win and one draw in their last two encounters.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Patro Eisden and KRC Genk II expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.60
Patro Eisden and KRC Genk II attack and defence ratings
Patro Eisden
KRC Genk II
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Patro Eisden vs KRC Genk II markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Patro Eisden | 50.3% | 1.99 | -23.7% | 1.70 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.8% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 70.3% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 77.1% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 67.4% | 1.48 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Patro Eisden | 50.3% |
| Draw | 22.9% | |
| KRC Genk II | 26.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 30.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 70.3% |
| No | 29.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 49.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Patro Eisden win | 16.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16.1% | |
| Loss | 67.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.7% |
| 1-2 | 8.5% | |
| 2-1 | 7.3% |
Patro Eisden vs KRC Genk II stats
Patro Eisden and KRC Genk II recent form
| Patro Eisden |
LLLLLW |
| KRC Genk II |
DLWWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Patro Eisden and KRC Genk II season so far
Patro Eisden record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
KRC Genk II record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
Patro Eisden vs KRC Genk II head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-06 | Patro Eisden | KRC Genk II | Challenger Pro League | 4-4 |
| 2025-09-26 | KRC Genk II | Patro Eisden | Challenger Pro League | 1-4 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Patro Eisden vs KRC Genk II odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 56.2%, draw 22.8%, away 21.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.60 | 4.00 | 4.33 |
| Bet365 | 1.62 | 3.75 | 4.33 |
| Betano | 1.67 | 3.90 | 4.40 |
| Betfair | 1.62 | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| Dafabet | 1.70 | 4.10 | 4.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.58 | 4.00 | 4.25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.65 | 4.17 | 4.42 |
| SBO | 1.60 | 3.55 | 3.84 |
| William Hill | 1.65 | 3.80 | 4.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .