KRC Genk II
vs
Seraing United
2 – 2 Full time
| 11′ | Alexandre Tunkadi | ||
| 24′ | A. Messoussa | ||
| 36′ | Emmanuel Sarfo | ||
| 45′ | Victor Corneillie | ||
| 45′ | Emile Doucoure | ||
| 45′ | Emmanuel SarfoSami El Morabet | ||
| 48′ | Jonathan Coenen | ||
| 69′ | Sami El Morabet | ||
| 72′ | Precious OgbeiwiManu Mocsnik | ||
| 72′ | Adrian Palacios | ||
| 73′ | Jelle DriessenMoussa Kone | ||
| 73′ | August De Wannemacker | ||
| 74′ | Alexandre TunkadiReda Aamer | ||
| 74′ | Fostave MabaniNabil Bouchentouf | ||
| 74′ | A. MessoussaValerio Di Crescenzo | ||
| 82′ | Tom LockmanMatteo Bisarre | ||
| 90′ | Adrian Palacios |
Match stats
| 12 | Shots | 4 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 62 | Possession % | 38 |
| 12 | Corners | 6 |
| 13 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Offsides | 0 |
| 1 | Saves | 3 |
| 416 | Accurate passes | 219 |
KRC Genk II vs Seraing United overview
Garuda Lions analysis: KRC Genk II vs Seraing United
| Probability | KRC Genk II | Draw | Seraing United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 43.0% | 25.1% | 31.9% |
| Market | 39.3% | 26.0% | 34.6% |
| Final | 40.2% | 25.8% | 34.0% |
| Edge | +3.6% | -0.9% | -2.7% |
Why KRC Genk II
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices KRC Genk II below the model: +3.6 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
KRC Genk II and Seraing United expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.24
KRC Genk II and Seraing United attack and defence ratings
KRC Genk II
Seraing United
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
KRC Genk II vs Seraing United: result vs prediction
KRC Genk II 2 – 2 Seraing United
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
KRC Genk II vs Seraing United markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | KRC Genk II | 40.2% | 2.49 | +3.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.8% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.0% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.2% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.0% | 1.75 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | KRC Genk II | 40.2% |
| Draw | 25.8% | |
| Seraing United | 34.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 37.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.0% |
| No | 35.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 66.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 59.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | KRC Genk II win | 23.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.6% | |
| Loss | 57.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.2% |
| 2-1 | 8.9% | |
| 1-2 | 7.6% |
KRC Genk II vs Seraing United stats
KRC Genk II and Seraing United recent form
| LWWLLD | |
| LLDLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
KRC Genk II and Seraing United going into this match
KRC Genk II record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
Seraing United record
- They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
KRC Genk II vs Seraing United head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | Seraing United | KRC Genk II | Challenger Pro League | 2-2 |
| 2025-08-23 | KRC Genk II | Seraing United | Challenger Pro League | 0-0 |
| 2025-01-19 | KRC Genk II | Seraing United | Challenger Pro League | 2-2 |
| 2024-08-16 | Seraing United | KRC Genk II | Challenger Pro League | 0-2 |
| 2024-02-04 | Seraing United | KRC Genk II | Challenger Pro League | 1-3 |
| 2023-11-26 | KRC Genk II | Seraing United | Challenger Pro League | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
KRC Genk II vs Seraing United odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 39.3%, draw 26.0%, away 34.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.27 | 3.42 | 2.60 |
| Bet365 | 2.38 | 3.50 | 2.60 |
| Betano | 2.40 | 3.60 | 2.60 |
| Betfair | 2.20 | 3.75 | 2.55 |
| Marathonbet | 2.27 | 3.42 | 2.60 |
| Pinnacle | 2.37 | 3.70 | 2.75 |
| SBO | 2.28 | 3.23 | 2.37 |
| William Hill | 2.30 | 3.40 | 2.62 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .