Challenger Pro League · Full time ·Matchday 6

KRC Genk II vs Seraing United

2 – 2 Full time

11′Alexandre Tunkadi
24′A. Messoussa
36′Emmanuel Sarfo
45′Victor Corneillie
45′Emile Doucoure
45′Emmanuel SarfoSami El Morabet
48′Jonathan Coenen
69′Sami El Morabet
72′Precious OgbeiwiManu Mocsnik
72′Adrian Palacios
73′Jelle DriessenMoussa Kone
73′August De Wannemacker
74′Alexandre TunkadiReda Aamer
74′Fostave MabaniNabil Bouchentouf
74′A. MessoussaValerio Di Crescenzo
82′Tom LockmanMatteo Bisarre
90′Adrian Palacios

Luminus Arena, Genk

KRC Genk II 40%
Draw 26%
Seraing United 34%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

12 Shots 4
5 Shots on target 3
62 Possession % 38
12 Corners 6
13 Fouls 14
2 Offsides 0
1 Saves 3
416 Accurate passes 219

KRC Genk II vs Seraing United overview

Garuda Lions analysis: KRC Genk II vs Seraing United

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityKRC Genk IIDrawSeraing United
Model43.0%25.1%31.9%
Market39.3%26.0%34.6%
Final40.2%25.8%34.0%
Edge+3.6%-0.9%-2.7%

Confidence: Low

Why KRC Genk II

  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
  • The market prices KRC Genk II below the model: +3.6 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

KRC Genk II ↓ / Seraing United → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 11% 8% 2 6% 9% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 84%
3+ goals 63%
No goals 5%

KRC Genk II and Seraing United expected goals

KRC Genk II 1.75
Seraing United 1.49

Total expected goals: 3.24

KRC Genk II and Seraing United attack and defence ratings

KRC Genk II

Attack 1.15 +15%
Defence 1.23 +23%

Seraing United

Attack 0.88 -12%
Defence 1.03 +3%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

KRC Genk II vs Seraing United: result vs prediction

KRC Genk II 2 – 2 Seraing United

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Challenger Pro League

Before and after this match

KRC Genk II vs Seraing United markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 KRC Genk II 40.2% 2.49 +3.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 62.8% 1.59 — —
Both teams to score Yes 65.0% 1.54 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.2% 1.35 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 57.0% 1.75 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2KRC Genk II40.2%
Draw25.8%
Seraing United34.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.562.8%
Under 2.537.2%
Both teams to scoreYes65.0%
No35.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)66.0%
12 (either side)74.2%
X2 (draw or away)59.8%
Handicap -1KRC Genk II win23.3%
Push (exactly one goal)19.6%
Loss57.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.2%
2-18.9%
1-27.6%

KRC Genk II vs Seraing United stats

KRC Genk II and Seraing United recent form

newest first
KRC Genk II LWWLLD
Seraing United LLDLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

KRC Genk II and Seraing United going into this match

league record before kick-off

KRC Genk II record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.

Seraing United record

  • They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.

KRC Genk II vs Seraing United head-to-head

Last 6 meetings

2KRC Genk II wins 4Draws 0Seraing United wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-14Seraing UnitedKRC Genk IIChallenger Pro League2-2
2025-08-23KRC Genk IISeraing UnitedChallenger Pro League0-0
2025-01-19KRC Genk IISeraing UnitedChallenger Pro League2-2
2024-08-16Seraing UnitedKRC Genk IIChallenger Pro League0-2
2024-02-04Seraing UnitedKRC Genk IIChallenger Pro League1-3
2023-11-26KRC Genk IISeraing UnitedChallenger Pro League1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

KRC Genk II vs Seraing United odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 39.3%, draw 26.0%, away 34.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.27 3.42 2.60
Bet365 2.38 3.50 2.60
Betano 2.40 3.60 2.60
Betfair 2.20 3.75 2.55
Marathonbet 2.27 3.42 2.60
Pinnacle 2.37 3.70 2.75
SBO 2.28 3.23 2.37
William Hill 2.30 3.40 2.62

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.29 ▲ +0.02
X 3.46 ▼ -0.12
2 2.60 ▼ -0.02

12 snapshots recorded, from .