Excelsior Virton
vs
KRC Genk II
3 – 0 Full time
| 20′ | August De WannemackerPrecious Ogbeiwi | ||
| 22′ | Manu Mocsnik | ||
| 26′ | Wout Kapers | ||
| 28′ | Ihab Goudani El Baraka | ||
| 37′ | Manu MocsnikAdrian Palacios | ||
| 54′ | Ehsan Kari | ||
| 65′ | Allan Tchaptchet | ||
| 71′ | Paul WadeMarks Inchaud | ||
| 71′ | Ehsan KariWilliam Simba | ||
| 71′ | Yumeki YoshinagaAlpha Barry | ||
| 72′ | Kiyan AchahbarBrad Manguelle | ||
| 72′ | Djoully NzokoThierno Amadou Baldé | ||
| 88′ | Ihab Goudani El BarakaLuca Maiorano | ||
| 89′ | Gaetan AribAntoine Valerio | ||
| 90′ | Marks Inchaud | ||
| 90′ | Jean-Claude NtendaBrad-Hamilton Mantsounga |
Match stats
| 21 | Shots | 4 |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Shots on target | 0 |
| 61 | Possession % | 39 |
| 7 | Corners | 1 |
| 9 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Offsides | 2 |
| 0 | Saves | 5 |
| 523 | Accurate passes | 315 |
Excelsior Virton vs KRC Genk II overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Excelsior Virton vs KRC Genk II
| Probability | Excelsior Virton | Draw | KRC Genk II |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 45.7% | 23.6% | 30.7% |
| Market | 43.8% | 24.6% | 31.6% |
| Final | 44.3% | 24.3% | 31.4% |
| Edge | +1.8% | -0.9% | -0.9% |
Why Excelsior Virton
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.95 vs 1.58.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Excelsior Virton and KRC Genk II expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.53
Excelsior Virton and KRC Genk II attack and defence ratings
Excelsior Virton
KRC Genk II
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Excelsior Virton vs KRC Genk II: result vs prediction
Excelsior Virton 3 – 0 KRC Genk II
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Excelsior Virton vs KRC Genk II markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Excelsior Virton | 44.3% | 2.26 | +1.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.4% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.0% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.7% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 54.3% | 1.84 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Excelsior Virton | 44.3% |
| Draw | 24.3% | |
| KRC Genk II | 31.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 31.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.0% |
| No | 31.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 55.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Excelsior Virton win | 26.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.5% | |
| Loss | 54.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.9% |
| 2-1 | 8.8% | |
| 1-2 | 7.1% |
Excelsior Virton vs KRC Genk II stats
Excelsior Virton and KRC Genk II recent form
| Excelsior Virton |
LWWLDW |
| KRC Genk II |
WWLLDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Excelsior Virton vs KRC Genk II head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-05-12 | Excelsior Virton | KRC Genk II | Challenger Pro League | 3-1 |
| 2023-03-17 | KRC Genk II | Excelsior Virton | Challenger Pro League | 1-1 |
| 2023-02-12 | Excelsior Virton | KRC Genk II | Challenger Pro League | 0-1 |
| 2022-09-11 | KRC Genk II | Excelsior Virton | Challenger Pro League | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Excelsior Virton vs KRC Genk II odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 43.8%, draw 24.6%, away 31.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.07 | 3.80 | 2.83 |
| Bet365 | 2.10 | 3.50 | 2.90 |
| Betano | 2.12 | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| Betfair | 2.00 | 3.75 | 2.90 |
| Marathonbet | 2.05 | 3.80 | 2.78 |
| Pinnacle | 2.15 | 4.19 | 2.88 |
| SBO | 2.01 | 3.31 | 2.84 |
| William Hill | 2.05 | 3.60 | 2.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
5 snapshots recorded, from .