KAA Gent II
vs
Dender
0 – 1 Full time
| 30′ | Malcolm Viltard | ||
| 45′ | Mamadou DialloTrey Kongolo | ||
| 52′ | Kobe Cools | ||
| 61′ | Amine DaaliAdam Nhaili | ||
| 67′ | Ruslan VydyshDaniel James Wisdom | ||
| 67′ | Alexandre ChaidronVictor Vandenbroucke | ||
| 67′ | Moctar DiopAhmed Yassin Mohammed Mohammed | ||
| 75′ | Emmanuel Mballa AmougouGerard Vandeplas | ||
| 80′ | Mohammed El ÂdfaouiJemiah Umolu | ||
| 88′ | Nathan Rodes | ||
| 90′ | Krzysztof KotonDavid Tosevski | ||
| 90′ | T. Matton |
Match stats
| 5 | Shots | 20 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 52 | Possession % | 48 |
| 1 | Corners | 6 |
| 8 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Offsides | 2 |
| 5 | Saves | 1 |
| 484 | Accurate passes | 444 |
KAA Gent II vs Dender overview
Garuda Lions analysis: KAA Gent II vs Dender
| Probability | KAA Gent II | Draw | Dender |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 25.8% | 25.9% | 48.3% |
| Market | 22.9% | 23.8% | 53.3% |
| Final | 23.6% | 24.3% | 52.0% |
| Edge | +2.9% | +2.1% | -5.0% |
Why Dender
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.73 vs 1.21.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
KAA Gent II and Dender expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.94
KAA Gent II and Dender attack and defence ratings
KAA Gent II
Dender
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
KAA Gent II vs Dender: result vs prediction
KAA Gent II 0 – 1 Dender
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
KAA Gent II vs Dender markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dender | 52.0% | 1.92 | -5.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.3% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.9% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 76.4% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 51.7% | 1.93 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | KAA Gent II | 23.6% |
| Draw | 24.3% | |
| Dender | 52.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 43.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.9% |
| No | 41.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 48.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 76.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Dender win | 26.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.6% | |
| Loss | 51.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.2% |
| 1-2 | 9.6% | |
| 0-1 | 8.0% |
KAA Gent II vs Dender stats
KAA Gent II and Dender recent form
| KAA Gent II |
DWLDLL |
| Dender |
WWWLDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
KAA Gent II vs Dender head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-08-03 | Dender | KAA Gent II | Friendlies Clubs | 4-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
KAA Gent II vs Dender odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 24.8%, draw 25.1%, away 50.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.00 | 3.90 | 1.71 |
| 888Sport | 3.10 | 3.40 | 2.00 |
| Bet365 | 4.00 | 3.75 | 1.67 |
| BetVictor | 4.20 | 3.80 | 1.73 |
| Betano | 3.20 | 3.55 | 2.05 |
| Betfair | 3.30 | 3.60 | 1.95 |
| Dafabet | 3.45 | 3.65 | 2.05 |
| Marathonbet | 3.94 | 3.90 | 1.67 |
| Pinnacle | 4.06 | 4.25 | 1.75 |
| SBO | 3.09 | 3.16 | 1.88 |
| Superbet | 3.35 | 3.50 | 2.02 |
| William Hill | 3.90 | 3.50 | 1.75 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
5 snapshots recorded, from .