Challenger Pro League · Full time ·Matchday 5

Seraing United vs Sporting Hasselt

1 – 2 Full time

12′Javan Ngoyi
28′A. Messoussa
53′Livio Milts
61′Livio MiltsGeoffry Hairemans
62′Matthieu MulandMatteo Bisarre
62′Nabil BouchentoufEmmanuel Mutela Tshimbalanga
66′A. MessoussaValerio Di Crescenzo
66′M GnemagnonTom Lockman
68′M. Bounou
73′Siebe Van KeymolenTuur Dierckx
73′Loic MasschoMathisse Dassen
75′Alexandre TunkadiSaliou Faye
81′Anas Namri
84′M. BounouAlain-Jerry Lufira Luebo
84′Lucca LuckerEthan Butera
88′Ethan Butera

Stade du Pairay, Seraing

Seraing United 31%
Draw 26%
Sporting Hasselt 43%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

11 Shots 12
7 Shots on target 5
41 Possession % 59
6 Corners 4
15 Fouls 13
2 Offsides 3
3 Saves 6
297 Accurate passes 470

Seraing United vs Sporting Hasselt overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Seraing United vs Sporting Hasselt

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySeraing UnitedDrawSporting Hasselt
Model31.1%26.7%42.2%
Market31.4%25.3%43.3%
Final31.3%25.6%43.1%
Edge-0.3%+1.4%-1.1%

Confidence: Low

Why Sporting Hasselt

  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Seraing United ↓ / Sporting Hasse → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 7% 7% 1 13% 9% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 80%
3+ goals 56%
No goals 6%

Seraing United and Sporting Hasselt expected goals

Seraing United 1.34
Sporting Hasselt 1.59

Total expected goals: 2.93

Seraing United and Sporting Hasselt attack and defence ratings

Seraing United

Attack 0.89 -11%
Defence 0.99 -1%

Sporting Hasselt

Attack 1.19 +19%
Defence 1.03 +3%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Seraing United vs Sporting Hasselt: result vs prediction

Seraing United 1 – 2 Sporting Hasselt

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Challenger Pro League

Before and after this match

Seraing United vs Sporting Hasselt markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Sporting Hasselt 43.1% 2.32 -1.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 56.0% 1.78 — —
Both teams to score Yes 59.9% 1.67 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.4% 1.34 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 57.8% 1.73 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Seraing United31.3%
Draw25.6%
Sporting Hasselt43.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.556.0%
Under 2.544.0%
Both teams to scoreYes59.9%
No40.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)56.9%
12 (either side)74.4%
X2 (draw or away)68.7%
Handicap -1Sporting Hasselt win22.0%
Push (exactly one goal)20.3%
Loss57.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.5%
1-29.0%
2-17.6%

Seraing United vs Sporting Hasselt stats

Seraing United and Sporting Hasselt recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Seraing United vs Sporting Hasselt head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Seraing United vs Sporting Hasselt odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 31.4%, draw 25.3%, away 43.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.98 3.50 2.09
Bet365 2.80 3.60 2.10
BetVictor 2.90 3.60 2.10
Betano 2.90 3.65 2.18
Betfair 2.88 3.60 2.05
Marathonbet 2.93 3.50 2.07
Pinnacle 3.08 3.70 2.17
SBO 2.66 3.17 2.08
William Hill 2.90 3.30 2.10

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.90 ▼ -0.05
X 3.60 ▲ +0.10
2 2.10 —

4 snapshots recorded, from .