Challenger Pro League · Full time ·Matchday 4

KRC Genk II vs Sporting Hasselt

3 – 0 Full time

18′Kim Myung-jun
25′Kiyan Achahbar
35′Andres Labie
47′Kiyan Achahbar
66′Lucca LuckerEthan Butera
66′Loic MasschoMathisse Dassen
66′Livio MiltsAlain-Jerry Lufira Luebo
71′Yumeki YoshinagaAlpha Barry
71′Djoully NzokoJens De Groof
71′Siebe Van KeymolenNicolas Orye
78′Lucas Eric VankerkhovenRyan Sanusi
84′Jelle DriessenManu Mocsnik
84′Jonathan CoenenMustapha Koma
84′Kim Myung-junSami El Morabet

Cegeka Arena, GenkReferee: L. Bultynck

KRC Genk II 29%
Draw 23%
Sporting Hasselt 48%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

14 Shots 21
8 Shots on target 7
37 Possession % 63
3 Corners 3
9 Fouls 7
4 Offsides 4
7 Saves 5
282 Accurate passes 523

KRC Genk II vs Sporting Hasselt overview

Garuda Lions analysis: KRC Genk II vs Sporting Hasselt

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityKRC Genk IIDrawSporting Hasselt
Model25.3%20.9%53.8%
Market30.0%24.1%45.9%
Final28.8%23.3%47.9%
Edge-4.6%-3.2%+7.9%

Confidence: Low

Why Sporting Hasselt

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.37 vs 1.62.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Sporting Hasselt below the model: +7.9 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

KRC Genk II ↓ / Sporting Hasse → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 5% 4% 1 8% 8% 7% 7% 2 6% 7% 5% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 92%
3+ goals 76%
No goals 3%

KRC Genk II and Sporting Hasselt expected goals

KRC Genk II 1.62
Sporting Hasselt 2.37

Total expected goals: 4.00

KRC Genk II and Sporting Hasselt attack and defence ratings

KRC Genk II

Attack 1.25 +25%
Defence 1.30 +30%

Sporting Hasselt

Attack 1.34 +34%
Defence 0.89 -11%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

KRC Genk II vs Sporting Hasselt: result vs prediction

KRC Genk II 3 – 0 Sporting Hasselt

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

Challenger Pro League

Before and after this match

KRC Genk II vs Sporting Hasselt markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Sporting Hasselt 47.9% 2.09 +7.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 76.1% 1.31 — —
Both teams to score Yes 73.5% 1.36 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 76.7% 1.30 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 46.2% 2.16 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2KRC Genk II28.8%
Draw23.3%
Sporting Hasselt47.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.576.1%
Under 2.523.9%
Both teams to scoreYes73.5%
No26.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)52.1%
12 (either side)76.7%
X2 (draw or away)71.2%
Handicap -1Sporting Hasselt win34.2%
Push (exactly one goal)19.6%
Loss46.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-28.4%
1-17.8%
2-26.8%

KRC Genk II vs Sporting Hasselt stats

KRC Genk II and Sporting Hasselt recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

KRC Genk II vs Sporting Hasselt head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

1KRC Genk II wins 0Draws 0Sporting Hasselt wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2023-08-01Sporting HasseltKRC Genk IIFriendlies Clubs0-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

KRC Genk II vs Sporting Hasselt odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 30.1%, draw 25.0%, away 44.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.90 3.65 2.15
1xBet 3.07 3.75 1.97
Bet365 3.00 3.60 2.00
Betano 3.05 3.55 2.12
Betfair 2.90 3.70 2.05
Dafabet 3.20 3.65 2.15
Marathonbet 3.02 3.75 1.95
Pinnacle 3.19 4.12 2.02
SBO 2.85 3.25 1.96
Superbet 3.05 3.55 2.12
Unibet 3.30 3.55 2.05
William Hill 3.00 3.80 1.91

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.02 ▼ -0.18
X 3.75 ▲ +0.20
2 1.97 ▼ -0.15

10 snapshots recorded, from .