Sporting Hasselt
vs
KAA Gent II
0 – 2 Full time
Sporting Hasselt vs KAA Gent II overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sporting Hasselt vs KAA Gent II
| Probability | Sporting Hasselt | Draw | KAA Gent II |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 82.9% | 11.3% | 5.8% |
| Market | 49.3% | 25.2% | 25.5% |
| Final | 57.7% | 21.7% | 20.6% |
| Edge | +33.6% | -13.9% | -19.6% |
Why Sporting Hasselt
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.30 vs 0.87.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Sporting Hasselt below the model: +33.6 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Sporting Hasselt and KAA Gent II expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.18
Sporting Hasselt and KAA Gent II attack and defence ratings
Sporting Hasselt
KAA Gent II
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Sporting Hasselt vs KAA Gent II: result vs prediction
Sporting Hasselt 0 – 2 KAA Gent II
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 3 fixtures
Before and after this match
Sporting Hasselt vs KAA Gent II markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sporting Hasselt | 57.7% | 1.73 | +33.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 78.6% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.5% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.4% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Sporting Hasselt win | 66.4% | 1.50 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sporting Hasselt | 57.7% |
| Draw | 21.7% | |
| KAA Gent II | 20.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 78.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 21.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.5% |
| No | 43.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 42.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sporting Hasselt win | 66.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16.4% | |
| Loss | 17.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 3-0 | 9.2% |
| 2-0 | 8.4% | |
| 3-1 | 8.1% |
Sporting Hasselt vs KAA Gent II stats
Sporting Hasselt and KAA Gent II recent form
| Sporting Hasselt |
WWDWLW |
| KAA Gent II |
LDLLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Sporting Hasselt vs KAA Gent II head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-12-14 | Sporting Hasselt | KAA Gent II | First Amateur Division | 0-3 |
| 2024-09-14 | KAA Gent II | Sporting Hasselt | First Amateur Division | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Sporting Hasselt vs KAA Gent II odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 49.3%, draw 25.2%, away 25.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.90 | 3.65 | 3.50 |
| 1xBet | 1.82 | 3.62 | 3.66 |
| Bet365 | 1.83 | 3.60 | 3.50 |
| Betano | 1.87 | 3.70 | 3.65 |
| Betfair | 1.85 | 3.70 | 3.60 |
| Dafabet | 1.92 | 3.80 | 3.75 |
| Marathonbet | 1.80 | 3.62 | 3.60 |
| Pinnacle | 1.87 | 3.72 | 3.76 |
| SBO | 1.82 | 3.17 | 3.30 |
| Superbet | 1.90 | 3.65 | 3.60 |
| Unibet | 1.87 | 3.55 | 3.50 |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 3.30 | 3.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .