Challenger Pro League
·
Full time
·Matchday 3
Seraing United
vs
K. Lierse S.K.
1 – 1 Full time
| 8′ | Wout DebuyserDylan Dassy | ||
| 15′ | Moustapha Diop | ||
| 21′ | Bryan Smeets | ||
| 28′ | Nabil Bouchentouf | ||
| 45′ | Oussmane Kébé | ||
| 49′ | Alexandre Stanic | ||
| 65′ | Reda AamerMatteo Bisarre | ||
| 68′ | Cristian MakateElton Yeboah | ||
| 68′ | Marko MitrovicDaan De Peuter | ||
| 74′ | Matthieu MulandAlexandre Tunkadi | ||
| 78′ | Emmanuel Mutela Tshimbalanga | ||
| 80′ | Nabil BouchentoufValerio Di Crescenzo | ||
| 80′ | Wassim BahriAlek Bisevac | ||
| 85′ | Sam VanderhallenThiebe Van Elsuwege | ||
| 85′ | Samih El TouileJayden Braaf |
Seraing United
46%
Draw
28%
K. Lierse S.K.
25%
Seraing United vs K. Lierse S.K. overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Seraing United vs K. Lierse S.K.
| Probability | Seraing United | Draw | K. Lierse S.K. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 46.1% | 28.4% | 25.5% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 46.1% | 28.4% | 25.5% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Seraing United
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.48 vs 1.07.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
91%
2+ goals
73%
3+ goals
47%
No goals
9%
Seraing United and K. Lierse S.K. expected goals
Seraing United
1.48
K. Lierse S.K.
1.07
Total expected goals: 2.55
Seraing United and K. Lierse S.K. attack and defence ratings
Seraing United
Attack
0.99 -1%
Defence
0.95 -5%
K. Lierse S.K.
Attack
0.82 -18%
Defence
1.02 +2%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Seraing United vs K. Lierse S.K.: result vs prediction
Seraing United 1 – 1 K. Lierse S.K.
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 3 fixtures
Before and after this match
Seraing United vs K. Lierse S.K. markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Seraing United | 46.1% | 2.17 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 53.2% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.7% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.5% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 54.6% | 1.83 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Seraing United | 46.1% |
| Draw | 28.4% | |
| K. Lierse S.K. | 25.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 53.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.7% |
| No | 48.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 53.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Seraing United win | 23.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.3% | |
| Loss | 54.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.6% |
| 1-0 | 10.5% | |
| 2-1 | 9.2% |
Seraing United vs K. Lierse S.K. stats
Seraing United and K. Lierse S.K. recent form
| Seraing United |
LLLDWD |
| K. Lierse S.K. |
WLDWLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Seraing United vs K. Lierse S.K. head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
1Seraing United wins
1Draws
0K. Lierse S.K. wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-13 | K. Lierse S.K. | Seraing United | Challenger Pro League | 0-1 |
| 2025-10-24 | Seraing United | K. Lierse S.K. | Challenger Pro League | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.