K. Lierse S.K.
vs
Patro Eisden
2 – 1 Full time
K. Lierse S.K. vs Patro Eisden overview
Garuda Lions analysis: K. Lierse S.K. vs Patro Eisden
| Probability | K. Lierse S.K. | Draw | Patro Eisden |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 29.8% | 27.6% | 42.6% |
| Market | 30.0% | 28.5% | 41.5% |
| Final | 30.0% | 28.3% | 41.8% |
| Edge | -0.2% | -0.9% | +1.2% |
Why Patro Eisden
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
K. Lierse S.K. and Patro Eisden expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.76
K. Lierse S.K. and Patro Eisden attack and defence ratings
K. Lierse S.K.
Patro Eisden
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
K. Lierse S.K. vs Patro Eisden: result vs prediction
K. Lierse S.K. 2 – 1 Patro Eisden
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 2 fixtures
Before and after this match
K. Lierse S.K. vs Patro Eisden markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Patro Eisden | 41.8% | 2.39 | +1.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.2% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.8% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.7% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.4% | 1.74 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | K. Lierse S.K. | 30.0% |
| Draw | 28.3% | |
| Patro Eisden | 41.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 47.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.8% |
| No | 43.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 58.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 70.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Patro Eisden win | 21.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.8% | |
| Loss | 57.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.1% |
| 1-2 | 9.1% | |
| 0-1 | 8.4% |
K. Lierse S.K. vs Patro Eisden stats
K. Lierse S.K. and Patro Eisden recent form
| LDWLDL | |
| WLDWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
K. Lierse S.K. vs Patro Eisden head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-13 | K. Lierse S.K. | Patro Eisden | Challenger Pro League | 1-2 |
| 2025-10-04 | Patro Eisden | K. Lierse S.K. | Challenger Pro League | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
K. Lierse S.K. vs Patro Eisden odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 30.0%, draw 28.5%, away 41.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.04 | 3.20 | 2.18 |
| Bet365 | 3.10 | 3.10 | 2.15 |
| BetVictor | 3.10 | 3.30 | 2.20 |
| Betano | 3.10 | 3.25 | 2.22 |
| Betfair | 3.00 | 3.25 | 2.20 |
| Dafabet | 3.20 | 3.35 | 2.28 |
| Marathonbet | 2.98 | 3.20 | 2.16 |
| SBO | 3.01 | 3.04 | 2.05 |
| Superbet | 3.10 | 3.20 | 2.22 |
| Unibet | 2.88 | 3.25 | 2.23 |
| William Hill | 3.00 | 3.00 | 2.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .