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Challenger Pro League · Full time ·Matchday 2

KRC Genk II vs Liège

2 – 3 Full time

Cegeka Arena, GenkReferee: T. Stevens

KRC Genk II 36%
Draw 26%
Liège 38%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

KRC Genk II vs Liège overview

Garuda Lions analysis: KRC Genk II vs Liège

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityKRC Genk IIDrawLiège
Model44.4%25.6%29.9%
Market32.8%26.3%40.9%
Final35.7%26.1%38.1%
Edge+11.6%-0.6%-10.9%

Confidence: Low

Why Liège

  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

KRC Genk II ↓ / Liège → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 7% 12% 7% 2 7% 9% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 83%
3+ goals 60%
No goals 6%

KRC Genk II and Liège expected goals

KRC Genk II 1.72
Liège 1.38

Total expected goals: 3.10

KRC Genk II and Liège attack and defence ratings

KRC Genk II

Attack 1.02 +2%
Defence 1.25 +25%

Liège

Attack 0.82 -18%
Defence 1.14 +14%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

KRC Genk II vs Liège: result vs prediction

KRC Genk II 2 – 3 Liège

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 2 fixtures

Challenger Pro League

Before and after this match

KRC Genk II vs Liège markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Liège 38.1% 2.62 -10.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 59.9% 1.67 — —
Both teams to score Yes 62.5% 1.60 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.9% 1.35 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 70.1% 1.43 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2KRC Genk II35.7%
Draw26.1%
Liège38.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.559.9%
Under 2.540.1%
Both teams to scoreYes62.5%
No37.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)61.9%
12 (either side)73.9%
X2 (draw or away)64.3%
Handicap -1Liège win13.8%
Push (exactly one goal)16.1%
Loss70.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.8%
2-19.2%
1-27.4%

KRC Genk II vs Liège stats

KRC Genk II and Liège recent form

newest first
KRC Genk II LDDDWD
Liège LLLWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

KRC Genk II vs Liège head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

1KRC Genk II wins 0Draws 1Liège wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-14KRC Genk IILiègeChallenger Pro League2-0
2025-10-05LiègeKRC Genk IIChallenger Pro League5-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

KRC Genk II vs Liège odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 32.8%, draw 26.3%, away 40.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.83 3.38 2.22
Bet365 2.75 3.50 2.15
Betano 2.85 3.50 2.25
Betfair 2.70 3.50 2.20
Dafabet 2.95 3.65 2.30
Marathonbet 2.78 3.38 2.20
Pinnacle 2.97 3.54 2.32
SBO 2.71 3.21 2.13
Superbet 2.87 3.50 2.25
Unibet 2.75 3.30 2.25
William Hill 2.80 3.20 2.25

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.80 ▲ +0.02
X 3.50 ▲ +0.01
2 2.25 —

3 snapshots recorded, from .