Lokeren-Temse
vs
KRC Genk II
2 – 4 Full time
Lokeren-Temse vs KRC Genk II overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Lokeren-Temse vs KRC Genk II
| Probability | Lokeren-Temse | Draw | KRC Genk II |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 59.0% | 21.1% | 19.9% |
| Market | 53.9% | 23.8% | 22.3% |
| Final | 55.2% | 23.1% | 21.7% |
| Edge | +5.1% | -2.7% | -2.5% |
Why Lokeren-Temse
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.30 vs 1.30.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Lokeren-Temse below the model: +5.1 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Lokeren-Temse and KRC Genk II expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.59
Lokeren-Temse and KRC Genk II attack and defence ratings
Lokeren-Temse
KRC Genk II
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Lokeren-Temse vs KRC Genk II: result vs prediction
Lokeren-Temse 2 – 4 KRC Genk II
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 3 fixtures
Before and after this match
Lokeren-Temse vs KRC Genk II markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lokeren-Temse | 55.2% | 1.81 | +5.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.6% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.2% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.3% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 41.0% | 2.44 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lokeren-Temse | 55.2% |
| Draw | 23.1% | |
| KRC Genk II | 21.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 30.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.2% |
| No | 33.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 44.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Lokeren-Temse win | 38.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.9% | |
| Loss | 41.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 9.4% |
| 1-1 | 9.0% | |
| 2-0 | 7.3% |
Lokeren-Temse vs KRC Genk II stats
Lokeren-Temse and KRC Genk II recent form
| Lokeren-Temse |
WWDDDW |
| KRC Genk II |
LLDDDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Lokeren-Temse vs KRC Genk II head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-03 | KRC Genk II | Lokeren-Temse | Challenger Pro League | 2-2 |
| 2025-12-14 | Lokeren-Temse | KRC Genk II | Challenger Pro League | 2-2 |
| 2025-03-02 | KRC Genk II | Lokeren-Temse | Challenger Pro League | 1-2 |
| 2024-11-03 | Lokeren-Temse | KRC Genk II | Challenger Pro League | 4-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Lokeren-Temse vs KRC Genk II odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 53.9%, draw 23.8%, away 22.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.73 | 3.80 | 4.10 |
| 1xBet | 1.64 | 4.05 | 4.16 |
| Bet365 | 1.67 | 3.80 | 3.90 |
| Betano | 1.75 | 3.85 | 4.05 |
| Betfair | 1.70 | 3.90 | 4.10 |
| Dafabet | 1.75 | 4.10 | 4.30 |
| Marathonbet | 1.62 | 4.05 | 4.10 |
| Pinnacle | 1.72 | 3.34 | 5.22 |
| Superbet | 1.71 | 3.90 | 4.15 |
| Unibet | 1.68 | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| William Hill | 1.67 | 3.70 | 4.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .