Garuda Lions
Today
Challenger Pro League · Full time ·Matchday 3

Excelsior Virton vs Francs Borains

0 – 1 Full time

Stade Yvan Georges, VirtonReferee: K. Clerkx

Excelsior Virton 59%
Draw 23%
Francs Borains 18%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Excelsior Virton vs Francs Borains overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Excelsior Virton vs Francs Borains

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityExcelsior VirtonDrawFrancs Borains
Model58.9%23.1%18.0%
Market———
Final58.9%23.1%18.0%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why Excelsior Virton

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.00 vs 1.05.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Excelsior Virt ↓ / Francs Borains → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 1 8% 11% 2 9% 10% 3 6% 7% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 82%
3+ goals 59%
No goals 6%

Excelsior Virton and Francs Borains expected goals

Excelsior Virton 2.00
Francs Borains 1.05

Total expected goals: 3.05

Excelsior Virton and Francs Borains attack and defence ratings

Excelsior Virton

Attack 1.26 +26%
Defence 0.90 -10%

Francs Borains

Attack 0.85 -15%
Defence 1.08 +8%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Excelsior Virton vs Francs Borains: result vs prediction

Excelsior Virton 0 – 1 Francs Borains

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 3 fixtures

Challenger Pro League

Before and after this match

Excelsior Virton vs Francs Borains markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Excelsior Virton 58.9% 1.70 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 58.9% 1.70 — —
Both teams to score Yes 57.0% 1.75 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 82.0% 1.22 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 41.7% 2.40 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Excelsior Virton58.9%
Draw23.1%
Francs Borains18.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.558.9%
Under 2.541.1%
Both teams to scoreYes57.0%
No43.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)82.0%
12 (either side)76.9%
X2 (draw or away)41.1%
Handicap -1Excelsior Virton win35.7%
Push (exactly one goal)22.6%
Loss41.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.9%
2-19.9%
2-09.6%

Excelsior Virton vs Francs Borains stats

Excelsior Virton and Francs Borains recent form

newest first
Excelsior Virton WWLDWL
Francs Borains LWLDWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Excelsior Virton vs Francs Borains head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Excelsior Virton vs Francs Borains odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.