Challenger Pro League · 2026-09-06T14:00:00Z UTC Full time ·Matchday 4

K. Lierse S.K. vs Liège

0 – 0 Full time

31′			Samih El Touile
43′			Kays Ruiz Atil
45′			Daan De PeuterPierre Dwomoh
60′			Noam Mayoka-Tika
61′			Ousmane CamaraNacim Dendani
61′			J.D'OstillioStephen Reynaerts
61′			Arnold QevaniRambok Ryan Wesley Ogam
64′			Noam Mayoka-Tikayohan mboko
70′			Benoit Bruggeman
80′			Kays Ruiz AtilAfonso N'Salambi
80′			Benoit BruggemanAdham Refai
85′			Marko MitrovicJayden Braaf
85′			Cristian MakateElton Yeboah

Herman Vanderpoortenstadion, LierReferee: K. Clerkx

K. Lierse S.K.

38%

Draw

28%

Liège

35%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Match stats

18	Shots	13
3	Shots on target	5
45	Possession %	55
5	Corners	9
18	Fouls	10
2	Offsides	3
5	Saves	4
296	Accurate passes	366

K. Lierse S.K. vs Liège overview

Garuda Lions analysis: K. Lierse S.K. vs Liège

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	K. Lierse S.K.	Draw	Liège
Model	40.1%	28.1%	31.8%
Market	36.9%	27.4%	35.6%
Final	37.7%	27.6%	34.7%
Edge	+3.2%	+0.7%	-3.8%

Confidence: Low

Why K. Lierse S.K.

The market prices K. Lierse S.K. below the model: +3.2 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

92%

2+ goals

76%

3+ goals

51%

No goals

K. Lierse S.K. and Liège expected goals

K. Lierse S.K.

1.44

Liège

1.26

Total expected goals: 2.71

K. Lierse S.K. and Liège attack and defence ratings

K. Lierse S.K.

Attack

0.80 -20%

Defence

0.98 -2%

Liège

Attack

0.95 -5%

Defence

1.23 +23%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

K. Lierse S.K. vs Liège: result vs prediction

K. Lierse S.K. 0 – 0 Liège

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick	✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

Challenger Pro League

Beerschot VA vs Patro Eisden · 2026-09-04
Dender v Seraing United — match page · 2026-09-04
KAA Gent II vs RSC Anderlecht II · 2026-09-05
Club Brugge II vs AS Eupen — team news & stats · 2026-09-05
KRC Genk II v Sporting Hasselt — match page · 2026-09-05
Francs Borains vs Lokeren-Temse · 2026-09-06

Before and after this match

K. Lierse S.K., previous: Seraing United vs K. Lierse S.K.: odds and pick
K. Lierse S.K., next: Beerschot VA vs K. Lierse S.K.: odds and pick
Liège, previous: Liège vs Dender: odds and pick
Liège, next: Liège vs Club Brugge II prediction

K. Lierse S.K. vs Liège markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	K. Lierse S.K.	37.7%	2.65	+3.2%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	50.8%	1.97	—	—
Both teams to score	Yes	56.0%	1.79	—	—
Double chance	12 (either side)	72.4%	1.38	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	59.9%	1.67	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	K. Lierse S.K.	37.7%
	Draw	27.6%
	Liège	34.7%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	50.8%
	Under 2.5	49.2%
Both teams to score	Yes	56.0%
	No	44.0%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	65.3%
	12 (either side)	72.4%
	X2 (draw or away)	62.3%
Handicap -1	K. Lierse S.K. win	19.8%
	Push (exactly one goal)	20.3%
	Loss	59.9%
Correct score (top 3)	1-1	13.4%
	2-1	8.8%
	1-0	8.4%

K. Lierse S.K. vs Liège stats

K. Lierse S.K. and Liège recent form

newest first

K. Lierse S.K.	DWLDWL
Liège	LWLLLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

K. Lierse S.K. vs Liège head-to-head

Last 9 meetings

3K. Lierse S.K. wins 2Draws 4Liège wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2026-02-06	Liège	K. Lierse S.K.	Challenger Pro League	2-1
2025-10-19	K. Lierse S.K.	Liège	Challenger Pro League	1-2
2025-02-23	Liège	K. Lierse S.K.	Challenger Pro League	2-1
2024-12-06	K. Lierse S.K.	Liège	Challenger Pro League	2-1
2024-03-16	K. Lierse S.K.	Liège	Challenger Pro League	3-2
2023-11-12	Liège	K. Lierse S.K.	Challenger Pro League	2-4
2020-08-15	K. Lierse S.K.	Liège	Friendlies Clubs	0-1
2020-02-16	Liège	K. Lierse S.K.	First Amateur Division	0-0
2019-11-30	K. Lierse S.K.	Liège	First Amateur Division	1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

K. Lierse S.K. vs Liège odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 36.8%, draw 27.3%, away 35.8%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
10Bet	2.60	3.30	2.50
1xBet	2.42	3.30	2.54
Bet365	2.45	3.30	2.45
BetVictor	2.50	3.40	2.60
Betano	2.60	3.35	2.52
Betfair	2.45	3.50	2.45
Dafabet	2.65	3.45	2.60
Marathonbet	2.42	3.30	2.54
Pinnacle	2.55	3.47	2.71
SBO	2.36	3.02	2.40
Superbet	2.62	3.30	2.52
Unibet	2.45	3.30	2.55
William Hill	2.45	3.10	2.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.45 —

X 3.30 —

2 2.54 ▲ +0.02

5 snapshots recorded, from 2026-09-04T08:10:01Z.