Beerschot VA
vs
K. Lierse S.K.
3 – 1 Full time
| 3′ | D'Margio Wright-Phillips | ||
| 11′ | Pieter De Schrijveryohan mboko | ||
| 14′ | Brian Plat | ||
| 21′ | Toshio LakeAnas Haj Mohamed | ||
| 45′ | Noam Mayoka-Tika | ||
| 45′ | Cristian MakatePierre Dwomoh | ||
| 45′ | Dylan DassyElton Yeboah | ||
| 58′ | Alexandre Stanic | ||
| 65′ | Jelle VossenMats Rits | ||
| 66′ | Sam VanderhallenThiebe Van Elsuwege | ||
| 71′ | Anas Haj Mohamed | ||
| 77′ | Sem audoor | ||
| 82′ | D'Margio Wright-PhillipsGlenn Claes | ||
| 82′ | Genki HaraguchiAxl Van Himbeeck | ||
| 82′ | Bas Van den EyndenDennis Gyamfi | ||
| 84′ | Bryan SmeetsDaan De Peuter |
Match stats
| 14 | Shots | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 43 | Possession % | 57 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Offsides | 1 |
| 2 | Saves | 2 |
| 305 | Accurate passes | 417 |
Beerschot VA vs K. Lierse S.K. overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Beerschot VA vs K. Lierse S.K.
| Probability | Beerschot VA | Draw | K. Lierse S.K. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 55.2% | 25.4% | 19.4% |
| Market | 62.9% | 21.4% | 15.7% |
| Final | 61.0% | 22.4% | 16.6% |
| Edge | -7.7% | +4.0% | +3.8% |
Why Beerschot VA
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.79 vs 0.98.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Beerschot VA and K. Lierse S.K. expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.76
Beerschot VA and K. Lierse S.K. attack and defence ratings
Beerschot VA
K. Lierse S.K.
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Beerschot VA vs K. Lierse S.K.: result vs prediction
Beerschot VA 3 – 1 K. Lierse S.K.
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Beerschot VA vs K. Lierse S.K. markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Beerschot VA | 61.0% | 1.64 | -7.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.2% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.4% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 44.8% | 2.23 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Beerschot VA | 61.0% |
| Draw | 22.4% | |
| K. Lierse S.K. | 16.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 47.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.1% |
| No | 46.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 39.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Beerschot VA win | 31.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.3% | |
| Loss | 44.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.1% |
| 1-0 | 10.1% | |
| 2-0 | 10.0% |
Beerschot VA vs K. Lierse S.K. stats
Beerschot VA and K. Lierse S.K. recent form
| Beerschot VA |
WWLWLL |
| K. Lierse S.K. |
DDWLDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Beerschot VA vs K. Lierse S.K. head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-01 | K. Lierse S.K. | Beerschot VA | Challenger Pro League | 1-2 |
| 2025-08-30 | Beerschot VA | K. Lierse S.K. | Challenger Pro League | 1-0 |
| 2024-03-08 | Beerschot VA | K. Lierse S.K. | Challenger Pro League | 2-1 |
| 2023-09-24 | K. Lierse S.K. | Beerschot VA | Challenger Pro League | 1-3 |
| 2023-05-13 | Beerschot VA | K. Lierse S.K. | Challenger Pro League | 1-2 |
| 2023-03-05 | K. Lierse S.K. | Beerschot VA | Challenger Pro League | 0-1 |
| 2023-02-04 | K. Lierse S.K. | Beerschot VA | Challenger Pro League | 1-0 |
| 2022-08-28 | Beerschot VA | K. Lierse S.K. | Challenger Pro League | 2-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Beerschot VA vs K. Lierse S.K. odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 63.0%, draw 21.3%, away 15.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.43 | 4.25 | 6.06 |
| 888Sport | 1.44 | 4.00 | 5.50 |
| Bet365 | 1.45 | 4.10 | 5.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.45 | 4.33 | 6.00 |
| Betano | 1.47 | 4.30 | 6.00 |
| Betfair | 1.40 | 4.33 | 6.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.48 | 4.60 | 6.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.42 | 4.25 | 5.85 |
| Pinnacle | 1.51 | 4.56 | 5.77 |
| SBO | 1.38 | 3.88 | 5.32 |
| Superbet | 1.46 | 4.40 | 5.80 |
| William Hill | 1.44 | 4.00 | 5.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
5 snapshots recorded, from .