Challenger Pro League · Full time ·Matchday 6

Sporting Hasselt vs Beerschot VA

0 – 1 Full time

41′Bas Van den Eynden
52′Anas Haj Mohamed
65′Sem audoor
66′Livio MiltsWilson Da Costa
75′Genki HaraguchiGlenn Claes
79′Sem audoorDennis Gyamfi
79′Anas Haj MohamedToshio Lake
80′Nicolas GeritsNicolas Orye
84′Geoffry HairemansRyan Sanusi
84′Javan NgoyiTuur Dierckx
84′Loic MasschoMathisse Dassen
90′Arnold Vula Lamb Luth
Sporting Hasselt 30%
Draw 25%
Beerschot VA 45%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

15 Shots 14
2 Shots on target 6
54 Possession % 46
3 Corners 5
9 Fouls 14
3 Offsides 0
5 Saves 2
435 Accurate passes 336

Sporting Hasselt vs Beerschot VA overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Sporting Hasselt vs Beerschot VA

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySporting HasseltDrawBeerschot VA
Model34.8%23.5%41.7%
Market28.2%25.4%46.3%
Final29.9%24.9%45.2%
Edge+6.6%-2.0%-4.6%

Confidence: Low

Why Beerschot VA

  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Sporting Hasse ↓ / Beerschot VA → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 10% 8% 5% 2 8% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 89%
3+ goals 70%
No goals 3%

Sporting Hasselt and Beerschot VA expected goals

Sporting Hasselt 1.73
Beerschot VA 1.91

Total expected goals: 3.64

Sporting Hasselt and Beerschot VA attack and defence ratings

Sporting Hasselt

Attack 1.20 +20%
Defence 0.98 -2%

Beerschot VA

Attack 1.41 +41%
Defence 0.97 -3%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Sporting Hasselt vs Beerschot VA: result vs prediction

Sporting Hasselt 0 – 1 Beerschot VA

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Challenger Pro League

Before and after this match

Sporting Hasselt vs Beerschot VA markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Beerschot VA 45.2% 2.21 -4.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 70.4% 1.42 — —
Both teams to score Yes 71.0% 1.41 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 75.1% 1.33 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 58.3% 1.72 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Sporting Hasselt29.9%
Draw24.9%
Beerschot VA45.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.570.4%
Under 2.529.6%
Both teams to scoreYes71.0%
No29.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)54.8%
12 (either side)75.1%
X2 (draw or away)70.1%
Handicap -1Beerschot VA win23.3%
Push (exactly one goal)18.4%
Loss58.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-19.5%
1-28.3%
2-17.5%

Sporting Hasselt vs Beerschot VA stats

Sporting Hasselt and Beerschot VA recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Sporting Hasselt and Beerschot VA going into this match

league record before kick-off

Sporting Hasselt record

  • They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.

Beerschot VA record

  • They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
  • 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Sporting Hasselt vs Beerschot VA head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Sporting Hasselt vs Beerschot VA odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 28.2%, draw 25.4%, away 46.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 3.23 3.52 1.95
Bet365 3.30 3.75 1.90
BetVictor 3.25 3.60 1.95
Betano 3.20 3.55 2.05
Betfair 3.10 3.60 1.95
Marathonbet 3.16 3.52 1.93
Pinnacle 3.32 3.78 2.04
SBO 2.92 3.16 1.96
William Hill 3.10 3.40 2.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.20 ▼ -0.22
X 3.55 ▼ -0.07
2 1.95 ▲ +0.05

12 snapshots recorded, from .