AS Eupen
vs
Liège
3 – 1 Full time
| 23′ | Raphael Augustin Di Matteo | ||
| 36′ | Isaac Nuhu | ||
| 42′ | Raphael Augustin Di MatteoMark Müller | ||
| 45′ | Adham RefaiRambok Ryan Wesley Ogam | ||
| 45′ | Élie Ilunga KitokoOusmane Camara | ||
| 50′ | Eric N'jo | ||
| 55′ | Simon Paulet | ||
| 65′ | Reno WilmotsKevin Shkurti | ||
| 65′ | Kays Ruiz AtilNacim Dendani | ||
| 65′ | Ba-Muaka SimakalaJoão Diogo Alves Rodrigues | ||
| 66′ | Logan Delaurier-ChaubetBertan Çalışkan | ||
| 70′ | João Diogo Alves Rodrigues | ||
| 74′ | Isaac NuhuSandro Vidigal | ||
| 74′ | Amadou KeitaTheo Marechal | ||
| 82′ | Pierre-Yves Ngawa | ||
| 83′ | Stephen ReynaertsArnold Qevani | ||
| 90′ | Arnold Qevani |
Match stats
| 17 | Shots | 14 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 49 | Possession % | 51 |
| 8 | Corners | 7 |
| 12 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Offsides | 0 |
| 4 | Saves | 1 |
| 325 | Accurate passes | 329 |
AS Eupen vs Liège overview
Garuda Lions analysis: AS Eupen vs Liège
| Probability | AS Eupen | Draw | Liège |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 56.8% | 23.3% | 20.0% |
| Market | 52.4% | 24.8% | 22.8% |
| Final | 53.5% | 24.4% | 22.1% |
| Edge | +4.4% | -1.5% | -2.9% |
Why AS Eupen
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.02 vs 1.14.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices AS Eupen below the model: +4.4 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
AS Eupen and Liège expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.15
AS Eupen and Liège attack and defence ratings
AS Eupen
Liège
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
AS Eupen vs Liège: result vs prediction
AS Eupen 3 – 1 Liège
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
AS Eupen vs Liège markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | AS Eupen | 53.5% | 1.87 | +4.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.0% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.9% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.9% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 43.2% | 2.31 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | AS Eupen | 53.5% |
| Draw | 24.4% | |
| Liège | 22.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 39.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.9% |
| No | 40.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 46.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | AS Eupen win | 34.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.1% | |
| Loss | 43.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.8% |
| 2-1 | 9.9% | |
| 2-0 | 8.7% |
AS Eupen vs Liège stats
AS Eupen and Liège recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
AS Eupen and Liège going into this match
Liège record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
AS Eupen vs Liège head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-17 | Liège | AS Eupen | Challenger Pro League | 2-1 |
| 2025-08-09 | AS Eupen | Liège | Challenger Pro League | 2-0 |
| 2024-12-21 | AS Eupen | Liège | Challenger Pro League | 0-1 |
| 2024-08-18 | Liège | AS Eupen | Challenger Pro League | 0-3 |
| 2023-06-24 | AS Eupen | Liège | Friendlies Clubs | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
AS Eupen vs Liège odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 52.1%, draw 25.0%, away 22.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.73 | 3.60 | 3.99 |
| Bet365 | 1.73 | 3.75 | 4.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.75 | 3.80 | 4.10 |
| Betano | 1.83 | 3.65 | 3.85 |
| Betfair | 1.70 | 3.75 | 4.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.71 | 3.60 | 3.90 |
| Pinnacle | 1.78 | 3.89 | 4.28 |
| SBO | 1.84 | 3.12 | 3.29 |
| William Hill | 1.75 | 3.50 | 3.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .