Challenger Pro League · Full time ·Matchday 6

Dender vs Patro Eisden

1 – 0 Full time

14′Kobe Cools
23′Louis Verstraete
54′Sami Lahssaini
58′Amine DaaliAdam Nhaili
62′Stef Peeters
69′Bo De Kerf
72′Emmanuel Mballa AmougouGerard Vandeplas
74′Zakaria Atteri
75′Zakaria AtteriJeremy Bokila
81′Krzysztof KotonPjotr Kestens
83′Adam Nhaili
87′Kevin KisRento Takaoka
87′Louis VerstraeteSeok-ju Hong
90′Sami Lahssaini
90′Martin Expérience

Stade Van Roy, Denderleeuw

Dender 55%
Draw 24%
Patro Eisden 21%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

12 Shots 18
4 Shots on target 0
54 Possession % 46
5 Corners 5
18 Fouls 21
2 Offsides 2
0 Saves 3
339 Accurate passes 269

Dender vs Patro Eisden overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Dender vs Patro Eisden

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityDenderDrawPatro Eisden
Model52.7%25.6%21.7%
Market55.2%24.1%20.7%
Final54.6%24.5%20.9%
Edge-2.5%+1.5%+1.0%

Confidence: Low

Why Dender

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.77 vs 1.07.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Dender ↓ / Patro Eisden → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 1 9% 12% 2 9% 10% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 79%
3+ goals 54%
No goals 7%

Dender and Patro Eisden expected goals

Dender 1.77
Patro Eisden 1.07

Total expected goals: 2.83

Dender and Patro Eisden attack and defence ratings

Dender

Attack 0.90 -10%
Defence 0.81 -19%

Patro Eisden

Attack 0.96 -4%
Defence 1.31 +31%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Dender vs Patro Eisden: result vs prediction

Dender 1 – 0 Patro Eisden

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Challenger Pro League

Before and after this match

Dender vs Patro Eisden markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Dender 54.6% 1.83 -2.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 53.8% 1.86 — —
Both teams to score Yes 55.5% 1.80 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 79.1% 1.27 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 47.3% 2.11 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Dender54.6%
Draw24.5%
Patro Eisden20.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.553.8%
Under 2.546.2%
Both teams to scoreYes55.5%
No44.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)79.1%
12 (either side)75.5%
X2 (draw or away)45.4%
Handicap -1Dender win30.0%
Push (exactly one goal)22.7%
Loss47.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.2%
2-19.8%
1-09.3%

Dender vs Patro Eisden stats

Dender and Patro Eisden recent form

newest first
Dender WWWWLD
Patro Eisden LLLLWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Dender and Patro Eisden going into this match

league record before kick-off

Dender record

  • They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.

Patro Eisden record

  • They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
  • 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Dender vs Patro Eisden head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

1Dender wins 4Draws 0Patro Eisden wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2024-01-27DenderPatro EisdenChallenger Pro League0-0
2023-09-22Patro EisdenDenderChallenger Pro League1-1
2022-03-05DenderPatro EisdenFirst Amateur Division3-0
2021-12-04Patro EisdenDenderFirst Amateur Division1-1
2019-09-07DenderPatro EisdenFirst Amateur Division0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Dender vs Patro Eisden odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 55.2%, draw 24.1%, away 20.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.63 3.78 4.39
Bet365 1.62 3.80 4.75
BetVictor 1.65 3.75 4.80
Betano 1.75 3.60 4.40
Betfair 1.60 3.80 4.75
Marathonbet 1.61 3.78 4.30
Pinnacle 1.67 4.16 4.66
SBO 1.73 3.21 3.88
William Hill 1.67 3.50 4.40

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.65 ▼ -0.19
X 3.78 ▲ +0.30
2 4.40 ▲ +0.65

10 snapshots recorded, from .