Challenger Pro League · Full time ·Matchday 6

Lokeren-Temse vs Excelsior Virton

1 – 1 Full time

43′Ihab Goudani El Baraka
44′Steeven Assengue
45′Ihab Goudani El BarakaAntoine Valerio
52′Aliou Dembele
63′Toon Janssen
64′Paul Wade
65′Gaetan AribA. Diop
66′Paul WadeLuca Maiorano
66′Sam Van Aerschot
78′Maxime Pau
78′Luan simnicaA. Ola-Adebomi
78′Vancy Roméo MabanzaModeste Duku Mbenga
84′Jean-Claude NtendaBrad-Hamilton Mantsounga
85′A. BrrouSalim Ben Seghir
87′Brad-Hamilton Mantsounga
90′Toon JanssenRune Van Den Bergh
90′Brad-Hamilton MantsoungaMaxime Guillaume

Daknamstadion, Lokeren

Lokeren-Temse 44%
Draw 24%
Excelsior Virton 31%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

15 Shots 5
4 Shots on target 5
70 Possession % 30
8 Corners 1
17 Fouls 15
2 Offsides 0
4 Saves 3
471 Accurate passes 166

Lokeren-Temse vs Excelsior Virton overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Lokeren-Temse vs Excelsior Virton

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityLokeren-TemseDrawExcelsior Virton
Model31.3%23.3%45.3%
Market48.9%24.5%26.6%
Final44.5%24.2%31.3%
Edge-17.5%-1.2%+18.7%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Lokeren-Temse ↓ / Excelsior Virt → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 5% 1 10% 9% 6% 2 7% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 88%
3+ goals 70%
No goals 4%

Lokeren-Temse and Excelsior Virton expected goals

Lokeren-Temse 1.63
Excelsior Virton 1.98

Total expected goals: 3.61

Lokeren-Temse and Excelsior Virton attack and defence ratings

Lokeren-Temse

Attack 1.39 +39%
Defence 1.19 +19%

Excelsior Virton

Attack 1.21 +21%
Defence 0.78 -22%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Lokeren-Temse vs Excelsior Virton: result vs prediction

Lokeren-Temse 1 – 1 Excelsior Virton

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Challenger Pro League

Before and after this match

Lokeren-Temse vs Excelsior Virton markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Lokeren-Temse 44.5% 2.25 -17.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 69.9% 1.43 — —
Both teams to score Yes 70.2% 1.43 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 75.8% 1.32 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 68.7% 1.46 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Lokeren-Temse44.5%
Draw24.2%
Excelsior Virton31.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.569.9%
Under 2.530.1%
Both teams to scoreYes70.2%
No29.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)68.7%
12 (either side)75.8%
X2 (draw or away)55.5%
Handicap -1Lokeren-Temse win15.6%
Push (exactly one goal)15.7%
Loss68.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-19.6%
1-28.6%
2-17.1%

Lokeren-Temse vs Excelsior Virton stats

Lokeren-Temse and Excelsior Virton recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Lokeren-Temse and Excelsior Virton going into this match

league record before kick-off

Lokeren-Temse record

  • They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.

Lokeren-Temse vs Excelsior Virton head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

1Lokeren-Temse wins 0Draws 1Excelsior Virton wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2024-04-20Lokeren-TemseExcelsior VirtonFirst Amateur Division1-3
2023-11-25Excelsior VirtonLokeren-TemseFirst Amateur Division0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Lokeren-Temse vs Excelsior Virton odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 48.9%, draw 24.5%, away 26.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.81 3.72 3.52
Bet365 1.85 3.50 3.50
BetVictor 1.90 3.80 3.50
Betano 1.90 3.80 3.45
Betfair 1.90 3.75 3.30
Marathonbet 1.79 3.72 3.44
Pinnacle 1.94 4.29 3.30
William Hill 1.85 3.50 3.30

Odds movement

Only one odds snapshot recorded so far — movement needs at least two.