Lokeren-Temse
vs
Excelsior Virton
1 – 1 Full time
| 43′ | Ihab Goudani El Baraka | ||
| 44′ | Steeven Assengue | ||
| 45′ | Ihab Goudani El BarakaAntoine Valerio | ||
| 52′ | Aliou Dembele | ||
| 63′ | Toon Janssen | ||
| 64′ | Paul Wade | ||
| 65′ | Gaetan AribA. Diop | ||
| 66′ | Paul WadeLuca Maiorano | ||
| 66′ | Sam Van Aerschot | ||
| 78′ | Maxime Pau | ||
| 78′ | Luan simnicaA. Ola-Adebomi | ||
| 78′ | Vancy Roméo MabanzaModeste Duku Mbenga | ||
| 84′ | Jean-Claude NtendaBrad-Hamilton Mantsounga | ||
| 85′ | A. BrrouSalim Ben Seghir | ||
| 87′ | Brad-Hamilton Mantsounga | ||
| 90′ | Toon JanssenRune Van Den Bergh | ||
| 90′ | Brad-Hamilton MantsoungaMaxime Guillaume |
Match stats
| 15 | Shots | 5 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 70 | Possession % | 30 |
| 8 | Corners | 1 |
| 17 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Offsides | 0 |
| 4 | Saves | 3 |
| 471 | Accurate passes | 166 |
Lokeren-Temse vs Excelsior Virton overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Lokeren-Temse vs Excelsior Virton
| Probability | Lokeren-Temse | Draw | Excelsior Virton |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 31.3% | 23.3% | 45.3% |
| Market | 48.9% | 24.5% | 26.6% |
| Final | 44.5% | 24.2% | 31.3% |
| Edge | -17.5% | -1.2% | +18.7% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Lokeren-Temse and Excelsior Virton expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.61
Lokeren-Temse and Excelsior Virton attack and defence ratings
Lokeren-Temse
Excelsior Virton
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Lokeren-Temse vs Excelsior Virton: result vs prediction
Lokeren-Temse 1 – 1 Excelsior Virton
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Lokeren-Temse vs Excelsior Virton markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lokeren-Temse | 44.5% | 2.25 | -17.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.9% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 70.2% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.8% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 68.7% | 1.46 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lokeren-Temse | 44.5% |
| Draw | 24.2% | |
| Excelsior Virton | 31.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 30.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 70.2% |
| No | 29.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 55.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Lokeren-Temse win | 15.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 15.7% | |
| Loss | 68.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.6% |
| 1-2 | 8.6% | |
| 2-1 | 7.1% |
Lokeren-Temse vs Excelsior Virton stats
Lokeren-Temse and Excelsior Virton recent form
| WLLWWD | |
| WLWWLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Lokeren-Temse and Excelsior Virton going into this match
Lokeren-Temse record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
Lokeren-Temse vs Excelsior Virton head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-20 | Lokeren-Temse | Excelsior Virton | First Amateur Division | 1-3 |
| 2023-11-25 | Excelsior Virton | Lokeren-Temse | First Amateur Division | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Lokeren-Temse vs Excelsior Virton odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 48.9%, draw 24.5%, away 26.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.81 | 3.72 | 3.52 |
| Bet365 | 1.85 | 3.50 | 3.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.90 | 3.80 | 3.50 |
| Betano | 1.90 | 3.80 | 3.45 |
| Betfair | 1.90 | 3.75 | 3.30 |
| Marathonbet | 1.79 | 3.72 | 3.44 |
| Pinnacle | 1.94 | 4.29 | 3.30 |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 3.50 | 3.30 |