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Challenger Pro League · Full time ·Matchday 5

Patro Eisden vs AS Eupen

1 – 2 Full time

9′Sandro Vidigal
18′Logan Delaurier-Chaubet
27′Igor Plastun
46′Zakaria Atteri
59′Louis VerstraeteStef Peeters
59′Seok-ju HongRadja Nainggolan
61′Mathias Fixelles
63′Sandro VidigalIsaac Nuhu
63′Ba-Muaka SimakalaJoão Diogo Alves Rodrigues
74′Logan Delaurier-ChaubetBertan Çalışkan
74′Raphael Augustin Di MatteoMark Müller
78′Tsubasa KasayanagiRento Takaoka
82′Kevin KisJeremy Bokila
83′Amadou KeitaLorenzo Youndje
90′Bertan Çalışkan
90′Isaias Delpupo

Patrostadion, Maasmechelen

Patro Eisden 38%
Draw 27%
AS Eupen 35%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

11 Shots 14
1 Shots on target 8
38 Possession % 62
4 Corners 3
14 Fouls 18
0 Offsides 3
6 Saves 0
292 Accurate passes 539

Patro Eisden vs AS Eupen overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Patro Eisden vs AS Eupen

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityPatro EisdenDrawAS Eupen
Model23.1%24.6%52.4%
Market42.7%27.9%29.4%
Final37.8%27.0%35.2%
Edge-19.7%-3.3%+23.0%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Patro Eisden ↓ / AS Eupen → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 8% 1 11% 10% 6% 2 6% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 82%
3+ goals 59%
No goals 6%

Patro Eisden and AS Eupen expected goals

Patro Eisden 1.20
AS Eupen 1.88

Total expected goals: 3.08

Patro Eisden and AS Eupen attack and defence ratings

Patro Eisden

Attack 1.01 +1%
Defence 1.32 +32%

AS Eupen

Attack 1.04 +4%
Defence 0.79 -21%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Patro Eisden vs AS Eupen: result vs prediction

Patro Eisden 1 – 2 AS Eupen

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Challenger Pro League

Before and after this match

Patro Eisden vs AS Eupen markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Patro Eisden 37.8% 2.64 -19.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 59.4% 1.68 — —
Both teams to score Yes 60.2% 1.66 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.0% 1.37 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 76.9% 1.30 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Patro Eisden37.8%
Draw27.0%
AS Eupen35.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.559.4%
Under 2.540.6%
Both teams to scoreYes60.2%
No39.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)64.8%
12 (either side)73.0%
X2 (draw or away)62.2%
Handicap -1Patro Eisden win9.6%
Push (exactly one goal)13.5%
Loss76.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.4%
1-29.8%
0-28.2%

Patro Eisden vs AS Eupen stats

Patro Eisden and AS Eupen recent form

newest first
Patro Eisden LLLWLD
AS Eupen WLWLDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Patro Eisden vs AS Eupen head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

2Patro Eisden wins 1Draws 1AS Eupen wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-12-18Patro EisdenAS EupenChallenger Pro League0-1
2025-09-20AS EupenPatro EisdenChallenger Pro League0-0
2025-04-18Patro EisdenAS EupenChallenger Pro League1-0
2024-11-10AS EupenPatro EisdenChallenger Pro League0-4

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Patro Eisden vs AS Eupen odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 42.7%, draw 27.9%, away 29.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.12 3.24 3.14
Bet365 2.10 3.25 3.00
BetVictor 2.15 3.40 3.10
Betano 2.12 3.35 3.20
Betfair 2.15 3.40 2.88
Marathonbet 2.10 3.24 3.08
Pinnacle 2.19 3.51 3.24
SBO 2.18 3.04 2.60
William Hill 2.10 3.20 3.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.12 ▼ -0.17
X 3.25 —
2 3.08 ▲ +0.25

14 snapshots recorded, from .