Challenger Pro League · Full time ·Matchday 5

Liège vs Club Brugge II

4 – 4 Full time

21′Jakke Van Britsom
37′Kays Ruiz Atil
42′Valentin Guillaume
45′Jakke Van Britsom
45′Wisdom MikeAl-Hassan Kamara
55′Jakke Van Britsom
57′Reno Wilmots
58′Alexander Leon·VandeperreSamuel·Gomez Van Hoogen
65′Ousmane CamaraNacim Dendani
65′Rambok Ryan Wesley OgamAdham Refai
67′Briek MorelMohamed Galal Elbay
67′Jessi Da SilvaUtku Kurtal
68′Milan Robberechts
72′Gaetan Englebert
78′Kays Ruiz Atil
83′Kays Ruiz Atil
85′Kays Ruiz AtilKevin Shkurti
90′Axl WinsMatteo Soria
90′Milan Robberechts
90′Valentin GuillaumeNaël Joachim Lawson

Stade de Rocourt

Liège 41%
Draw 26%
Club Brugge II 33%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

22 Shots 10
7 Shots on target 6
41 Possession % 59
6 Corners 6
7 Fouls 9
3 Offsides 0
2 Saves 3
246 Accurate passes 385

Liège vs Club Brugge II overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Liège vs Club Brugge II

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityLiègeDrawClub Brugge II
Model35.1%28.1%36.8%
Market43.1%25.8%31.1%
Final41.1%26.4%32.5%
Edge-8.0%+2.3%+5.7%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Liège ↓ / Club Brugge II → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 8% 1 8% 13% 8% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 77%
3+ goals 51%
No goals 8%

Liège and Club Brugge II expected goals

Liège 1.34
Club Brugge II 1.38

Total expected goals: 2.72

Liège and Club Brugge II attack and defence ratings

Liège

Attack 0.85 -15%
Defence 1.11 +11%

Club Brugge II

Attack 0.91 -9%
Defence 1.07 +7%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Liège vs Club Brugge II: result vs prediction

Liège 4 – 4 Club Brugge II

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Challenger Pro League

Before and after this match

Liège vs Club Brugge II markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Liège 41.1% 2.43 -8.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 51.2% 1.95 — —
Both teams to score Yes 56.5% 1.77 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.6% 1.36 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 64.9% 1.54 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Liège41.1%
Draw26.4%
Club Brugge II32.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.551.2%
Under 2.548.8%
Both teams to scoreYes56.5%
No43.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)67.5%
12 (either side)73.6%
X2 (draw or away)58.9%
Handicap -1Liège win16.3%
Push (exactly one goal)18.7%
Loss64.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.4%
1-28.4%
2-18.2%

Liège vs Club Brugge II stats

Liège and Club Brugge II recent form

newest first
Liège DLWLLL
Club Brugge II LWWWLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Liège vs Club Brugge II head-to-head

Last 6 meetings

4Liège wins 1Draws 1Club Brugge II wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-20LiègeClub Brugge IIChallenger Pro League3-2
2025-09-13Club Brugge IILiègeChallenger Pro League0-2
2025-04-05Club Brugge IILiègeChallenger Pro League2-1
2024-10-27LiègeClub Brugge IIChallenger Pro League1-1
2024-04-12Club Brugge IILiègeChallenger Pro League1-2
2023-09-15LiègeClub Brugge IIChallenger Pro League3-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Liège vs Club Brugge II odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 43.2%, draw 25.9%, away 30.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.09 3.52 2.96
Bet365 2.10 3.40 2.90
BetVictor 2.15 3.60 3.00
Betano 2.15 3.45 3.10
Betfair 2.10 3.50 2.90
Dafabet 2.12 3.55 3.15
Marathonbet 2.07 3.52 2.91
Pinnacle 2.17 3.91 3.00
SBO 2.00 3.15 2.84
William Hill 2.10 3.50 2.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.10 ▲ +0.05
X 3.50 ▼ -0.05
2 2.91 ▼ -0.08

13 snapshots recorded, from .