Challenger Pro League · Full time ·Matchday 4

Dender vs Seraing United

2 – 0 Full time

6′Bo De KerfPedro Gomes
28′Malcolm ViltardAdam Nhaili
33′Emmanuel Mballa Amougou
39′Nathan Rodes
48′Amine Daali
57′Reda Aamer
58′Wassim Bahri
64′Victor Corneillie
66′Wassim BahriValerio Di Crescenzo
66′Nabil BouchentoufSaliou Faye
67′Reda AamerAlexandre Tunkadi
67′M GnemagnonMatteo Bisarre
74′Emmanuel Mballa AmougouGerard Vandeplas
74′Amine DaaliOskar Szulc
77′Oussmane KébéTom Lockman
79′Junior Sambu Mansoni

Dender Football Complex, DenderleeuwReferee: T. Stevens

Dender 54%
Draw 24%
Seraing United 22%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

9 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 1
48 Possession % 52
4 Corners 4
21 Fouls 13
3 Offsides 1
1 Saves 1
349 Accurate passes 379

Dender vs Seraing United overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Dender vs Seraing United

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityDenderDrawSeraing United
Model32.4%29.9%37.7%
Market61.0%22.4%16.5%
Final53.9%24.3%21.8%
Edge-28.6%+7.4%+21.2%

Confidence: Low

Why Dender

  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Dender ↓ / Seraing United → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 10% 1 9% 14% 8% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 90%
2+ goals 72%
3+ goals 44%
No goals 10%

Dender and Seraing United expected goals

Dender 1.17
Seraing United 1.28

Total expected goals: 2.45

Dender and Seraing United attack and defence ratings

Dender

Attack 0.87 -13%
Defence 0.98 -2%

Seraing United

Attack 0.96 -4%
Defence 0.92 -8%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Dender vs Seraing United: result vs prediction

Dender 2 – 0 Seraing United

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

Challenger Pro League

Before and after this match

Dender vs Seraing United markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Dender 53.9% 1.86 -28.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 55.6% 1.80 — —
Both teams to score Yes 51.1% 1.96 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 78.2% 1.28 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 67.6% 1.48 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Dender53.9%
Draw24.3%
Seraing United21.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.544.4%
Under 2.555.6%
Both teams to scoreYes51.1%
No48.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)78.2%
12 (either side)75.7%
X2 (draw or away)46.1%
Handicap -1Dender win13.9%
Push (exactly one goal)18.5%
Loss67.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.2%
0-09.9%
0-19.7%

Dender vs Seraing United stats

Dender and Seraing United recent form

newest first
Dender WWLDLL
Seraing United DLLLDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Dender vs Seraing United head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

2Dender wins 1Draws 1Seraing United wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2024-02-07DenderSeraing UnitedChallenger Pro League5-1
2023-10-06Seraing UnitedDenderChallenger Pro League1-3
2020-02-22Seraing UnitedDenderFirst Amateur Division1-1
2019-09-28DenderSeraing UnitedFirst Amateur Division0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Dender vs Seraing United odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 61.0%, draw 22.4%, away 16.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.57 3.80 5.40
1xBet 1.45 4.15 5.85
Bet365 1.45 3.90 5.50
BetVictor 1.45 4.33 6.00
Betano 1.52 4.05 5.80
Betfair 1.44 4.20 5.50
Dafabet 1.52 4.40 6.20
Marathonbet 1.46 4.10 5.50
Pinnacle 1.50 4.51 6.03
SBO 1.49 3.56 4.66
Superbet 1.57 4.00 5.10
Unibet 1.54 4.00 5.80
William Hill 1.44 4.00 5.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.49 ▼ -0.11
X 4.05 ▲ +0.05
2 5.50 ▲ +0.10

8 snapshots recorded, from .