Belgium Cup · Full time ·Round of 32

SK Beveren vs Habay-la-Neuve

3 – 0 Full time

SK Beveren 73%
Draw 15%
Habay-la-Neuve 12%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

SK Beveren vs Habay-la-Neuve overview

Garuda Lions analysis: SK Beveren vs Habay-la-Neuve

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySK BeverenDrawHabay-la-Neuve
Model40.1%27.5%32.4%
Market83.4%11.5%5.1%
Final72.6%15.5%11.9%
Edge-43.3%+16.0%+27.3%

Confidence: Low

Why SK Beveren

  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

SK Beveren ↓ / Habay-la-Neuve → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 7% 1 8% 13% 8% 2 7% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 78%
3+ goals 53%
No goals 7%

SK Beveren and Habay-la-Neuve expected goals

SK Beveren 1.49
Habay-la-Neuve 1.32

Total expected goals: 2.81

SK Beveren and Habay-la-Neuve attack and defence ratings

SK Beveren

Attack 0.87 -13%
Defence 0.86 -14%

Habay-la-Neuve

Attack 0.95 -5%
Defence 0.86 -14%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

SK Beveren vs Habay-la-Neuve: result vs prediction

SK Beveren 3 – 0 Habay-la-Neuve

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Round of 32 fixtures

Belgium Cup

Before and after this match

SK Beveren vs Habay-la-Neuve markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 SK Beveren 72.6% 1.38 -43.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 53.3% 1.88 — —
Both teams to score Yes 58.0% 1.73 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 88.1% 1.14 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 59.9% 1.67 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2SK Beveren72.6%
Draw15.5%
Habay-la-Neuve11.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.553.3%
Under 2.546.7%
Both teams to scoreYes58.0%
No42.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)88.1%
12 (either side)84.5%
X2 (draw or away)27.4%
Handicap -1SK Beveren win20.1%
Push (exactly one goal)20.0%
Loss59.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.0%
2-18.8%
1-27.8%

SK Beveren vs Habay-la-Neuve stats

SK Beveren and Habay-la-Neuve recent form

newest first
SK Beveren LLWWLL
Habay-la-Neuve DDLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

SK Beveren vs Habay-la-Neuve head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

SK Beveren vs Habay-la-Neuve odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 83.0%, draw 11.5%, away 5.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.10 8.00 19.50
Bet365 1.11 8.50 17.00
BetVictor 1.09 8.00 15.00
Betano 1.15 6.10 13.50
Betfair 1.08 7.50 17.00
Dafabet 1.16 8.20 16.00
Marathonbet 1.10 8.00 19.75
Pinnacle 1.10 8.35 13.61
SBO 1.12 6.57 10.60
William Hill 1.12 7.00 19.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.10 ▼ -0.04
X 8.00 ▲ +0.75
2 18.00 ▲ +3.50

3 snapshots recorded, from .