Charleroi
vs
RAAL La Louvière
Garuda Lions Prediction: Charleroi
2 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.90 vs 1.10.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Charleroi vs RAAL La Louvière overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Charleroi vs RAAL La Louvière
| Probability | Charleroi | Draw | RAAL La Louvière |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 55.0% | 24.3% | 20.7% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 55.0% | 24.3% | 20.7% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Charleroi
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.90 vs 1.10.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Charleroi vs RAAL La Louvière match preview
Charleroi enters the match with a 55% probability of winning against RAAL La Louvière, who has a 21% chance, while a draw stands at 24%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-1 in favor of Charleroi, with an expected goals tally of 1.90 for Charleroi and 1.10 for RAAL La Louvière. Both teams are projected to score, with a 58% likelihood of over 2.5 goals in the match.
In terms of recent form, Charleroi has recorded a mixed set of results with two wins and a loss in their last six matches, while RAAL La Louvière has also experienced inconsistency, winning three of their last six. Historically, Charleroi has not secured a win against RAAL La Louvière in their last two encounters, with one draw and one win for RAAL La Louvière.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Charleroi and RAAL La Louvière expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.00
Charleroi and RAAL La Louvière attack and defence ratings
Charleroi
RAAL La Louvière
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Charleroi vs RAAL La Louvière markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Charleroi | 55.0% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.7% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.8% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.3% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 45.0% | 2.22 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Charleroi | 55.0% |
| Draw | 24.3% | |
| RAAL La Louvière | 20.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 42.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.8% |
| No | 42.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 45.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Charleroi win | 32.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.4% | |
| Loss | 45.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.4% |
| 2-1 | 9.9% | |
| 2-0 | 9.0% |
Charleroi vs RAAL La Louvière stats
Charleroi and RAAL La Louvière recent form
| Charleroi |
LWWWWL |
| RAAL La Louvière |
WWLLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Charleroi and RAAL La Louvière season so far
Charleroi record
- They have won 7 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
RAAL La Louvière record
- They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
Charleroi vs RAAL La Louvière head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-29 | Charleroi | RAAL La Louvière | Jupiler Pro League | 0-0 |
| 2025-08-10 | RAAL La Louvière | Charleroi | Jupiler Pro League | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.