Cercle Brugge
vs
Antwerp
Garuda Lions Prediction: Cercle Brugge
2 – 1 Predicted score · 8% model probability
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Cercle Brugge is the favourite, not a value bet.
Cercle Brugge vs Antwerp overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Cercle Brugge vs Antwerp
| Probability | Cercle Brugge | Draw | Antwerp |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 43.3% | 22.7% | 34.0% |
| Market | 49.5% | 24.0% | 26.5% |
| Final | 48.0% | 23.7% | 28.4% |
| Edge | -1.5% | -0.3% | +1.9% |
Best available price on the pick: 1.93, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -7.4% per unit staked (our 48.0% × 1.93 − 1).
Cercle Brugge vs Antwerp match preview
Cercle Brugge faces Antwerp in the Jupiler Pro League with Cercle Brugge holding a probability of 47% to win, while Antwerp has a 30% chance and a draw sits at 24%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-1 in favor of Cercle Brugge, occurring at a rate of 9%. The expectation for over 2.5 goals is 68%, and both teams are projected to score 69% of the time.
In terms of recent form, Cercle Brugge has recorded one win and five losses in their last six matches, while Antwerp has achieved two wins and four losses in the same span. The expected goals for Cercle Brugge stand at 1.98, compared to Antwerp's 1.56. In their last two encounters, Cercle Brugge has yet to secure a victory against Antwerp, with one draw and one win for Antwerp.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Cercle Brugge and Antwerp expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.83
Cercle Brugge and Antwerp attack and defence ratings
Cercle Brugge
Antwerp
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Zulte Waregem v Club Brugge KV — match page
- KV Mechelen vs Genk — team news & stats
- Standard Liege vs Kortrijk — team news & stats
- Anderlecht vs KVC Westerlo
- SK Beveren vs Union St. Gilloise — team news & stats
- St. Truiden vs OH Leuven
- Lommel United v Gent — match page
- Charleroi v RAAL La Louvière — match page
Before and after this match
Cercle Brugge vs Antwerp markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cercle Brugge | 48.0% | 2.08 | -1.5% | 1.93 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 73.6% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 73.3% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.3% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 56.7% | 1.77 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cercle Brugge | 48.0% |
| Draw | 23.7% | |
| Antwerp | 28.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 73.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 26.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 73.3% |
| No | 26.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 52.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Cercle Brugge win | 24.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.4% | |
| Loss | 56.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 8.7% |
| 2-1 | 8.1% | |
| 2-2 | 7.2% |
Cercle Brugge vs Antwerp stats
Cercle Brugge and Antwerp recent form
| Cercle Brugge |
LWLLDL |
| Antwerp |
WWLLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Cercle Brugge and Antwerp season so far
Cercle Brugge record
- They have won 0 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Antwerp record
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Cercle Brugge vs Antwerp head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-31 | Cercle Brugge | Antwerp | Jupiler Pro League | 0-4 |
| 2025-10-04 | Antwerp | Cercle Brugge | Jupiler Pro League | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Cercle Brugge vs Antwerp odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 49.5%, draw 24.0%, away 26.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.93 | 3.92 | 3.64 |
| Betano | 1.93 | 4.05 | 3.55 |
| Marathonbet | 1.88 | 3.82 | 3.55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.90 | 4.06 | 3.56 |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 3.70 | 3.40 |