Club Brugge KV
vs
St. Truiden
Garuda Lions Prediction: Club Brugge KV
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.67 vs 1.18.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Club Brugge KV is the favourite, not a value bet.
Club Brugge KV vs St. Truiden overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Club Brugge KV vs St. Truiden
| Probability | Club Brugge KV | Draw | St. Truiden |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 68.4% | 17.7% | 13.9% |
| Market | 69.4% | 17.5% | 13.2% |
| Final | 69.1% | 17.5% | 13.3% |
| Edge | -0.2% | +0.1% | +0.2% |
Why Club Brugge KV
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.67 vs 1.18.
- Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.38, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -4.6% per unit staked (our 69.1% × 1.38 − 1).
Club Brugge KV vs St. Truiden match preview
Club Brugge KV enters this match with a strong probability of 71% to secure a victory against St. Truiden, who has a 13% chance of winning. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-1, with an 8% likelihood. Expected goals suggest a dominant performance from Club Brugge KV at 2.88 compared to St. Truiden's 1.32.
In terms of recent form, Club Brugge KV has been impressive with four consecutive wins, while St. Truiden has shown inconsistency, winning two of their last six matches. The head-to-head record favors Club Brugge KV, who has won three of the last four encounters, with St. Truiden managing just one victory. The confidence grade for this matchup is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Club Brugge KV and St. Truiden expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.85
Club Brugge KV and St. Truiden attack and defence ratings
Club Brugge KV
St. Truiden
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
- Kortrijk vs KV Mechelen — team news & stats
- Antwerp vs Charleroi
- OH Leuven v Lommel United — match page
- KVC Westerlo vs SK Beveren — team news & stats
- RAAL La Louvière vs Zulte Waregem
- Genk v Standard Liege — match page
- Gent v Anderlecht — match page
- Union St. Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Club Brugge KV vs St. Truiden markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Club Brugge KV | 69.1% | 1.45 | -0.2% | 1.38 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 74.0% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.2% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.7% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Club Brugge KV win | 48.3% | 2.07 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Club Brugge KV | 69.1% |
| Draw | 17.5% | |
| St. Truiden | 13.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 74.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 26.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.2% |
| No | 34.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 82.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 30.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Club Brugge KV win | 48.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.1% | |
| Loss | 31.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 8.9% |
| 3-1 | 8.0% | |
| 2-0 | 7.6% |
Club Brugge KV vs St. Truiden stats
Club Brugge KV and St. Truiden recent form
| Club Brugge KV |
WWWWWW |
| St. Truiden |
WWWLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Club Brugge KV and St. Truiden season so far
Club Brugge KV record
- They have won 6 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 1.7 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
St. Truiden record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game on the road against 1.2 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
Club Brugge KV vs St. Truiden head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | Club Brugge KV | St. Truiden | Jupiler Pro League | 2-0 |
| 2026-04-11 | St. Truiden | Club Brugge KV | Jupiler Pro League | 1-2 |
| 2025-12-06 | St. Truiden | Club Brugge KV | Jupiler Pro League | 3-2 |
| 2025-09-21 | Club Brugge KV | St. Truiden | Jupiler Pro League | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Club Brugge KV vs St. Truiden odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 69.4%, draw 17.5%, away 13.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.36 | 5.55 | 7.50 |
| Bet365 | 1.33 | 5.25 | 6.25 |
| BetVictor | 1.30 | 5.25 | 7.50 |
| Betano | 1.38 | 5.60 | 6.90 |
| Betfair | 1.29 | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.35 | 5.80 | 7.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.33 | 5.40 | 7.30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.35 | 5.70 | 7.13 |
| SBO | 1.30 | 4.84 | 5.80 |
| William Hill | 1.35 | 5.00 | 6.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .