Club Brugge KV
vs
Lens
Garuda Lions Prediction: Club Brugge KV
2 β 1 Predicted score Β· 9% model probability
Club Brugge KV vs Lens overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Club Brugge KV vs Lens
| Probability | Club Brugge KV | Draw | Lens |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 70.2% | 17.4% | 12.4% |
| Market | β | β | β |
| Final | 70.2% | 17.4% | 12.4% |
| Edge | β | β | β |
Why Club Brugge KV
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.66 vs 1.08.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Club Brugge KV vs Lens match preview
Club Brugge KV is favored to win against Lens, with a 70% probability according to our model. The expected goals for Club Brugge KV stand at 2.66, while Lens is projected to score 1.08. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, occurring at a 9% likelihood. Additionally, there is a 72% chance that the match will feature over 2.5 goals, and a 62% probability that both teams will score.
In terms of recent form, Club Brugge KV has recorded three wins and two losses in their last six matches, while Lens has two wins, one draw, and three losses in the same timeframe. The confidence grade for this match is B, indicating a moderate level of certainty in the predictions provided.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Club Brugge KV and Lens expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.74
Club Brugge KV and Lens attack and defence ratings
Club Brugge KV
Lens
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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Before and after this match
Club Brugge KV vs Lens markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Club Brugge KV | 70.2% | 1.43 | β | β |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 72.1% | 1.39 | β | β |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.1% | 1.61 | β | β |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 87.6% | 1.14 | β | β |
| Handicap -1 | Club Brugge KV win | 49.9% | 2.00 | β | β |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Club Brugge KV | 70.2% |
| Draw | 17.4% | |
| Lens | 12.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 72.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 27.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.1% |
| No | 37.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 87.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 82.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 29.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Club Brugge KV win | 49.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.3% | |
| Loss | 29.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 9.1% |
| 2-0 | 8.4% | |
| 3-1 | 8.0% |
Club Brugge KV vs Lens stats
Club Brugge KV and Lens recent form
| WWLWLW | |
| LDWLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.