UEFA Champions League Β· Β·League Stage - 3

Club Brugge KV vs Lens

Garuda Lions Prediction: Club Brugge KV

2 – 1 Predicted score Β· 9% model probability

Jan Breydel Stadion, Brugge

Club Brugge KV 70%
Draw 17%
Lens 12%

Confidence: Medium  Β·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Club Brugge KV wins
70%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
97%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
62%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
2 – 1
9% of simulated outcomes

Club Brugge KV vs Lens overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Club Brugge KV vs Lens

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityClub Brugge KVDrawLens
Model70.2%17.4%12.4%
Marketβ€”β€”β€”
Final70.2%17.4%12.4%
Edgeβ€”β€”β€”

Confidence: Medium

Why Club Brugge KV

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.66 vs 1.08.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Club Brugge KV vs Lens match preview

Club Brugge KV is favored to win against Lens, with a 70% probability according to our model. The expected goals for Club Brugge KV stand at 2.66, while Lens is projected to score 1.08. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, occurring at a 9% likelihood. Additionally, there is a 72% chance that the match will feature over 2.5 goals, and a 62% probability that both teams will score.

In terms of recent form, Club Brugge KV has recorded three wins and two losses in their last six matches, while Lens has two wins, one draw, and three losses in the same timeframe. The confidence grade for this match is B, indicating a moderate level of certainty in the predictions provided.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Club Brugge KV ↓ / Lens β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 8% 2 8% 9% 3 7% 8% 4+ 9% 10% 5%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 89%
3+ goals 72%
No goals 3%

Club Brugge KV and Lens expected goals

Club Brugge KV 2.66
Lens 1.08

Total expected goals: 3.74

Club Brugge KV and Lens attack and defence ratings

Club Brugge KV

Attack 1.47 +47%
Defence 0.61 -39%

Lens

Attack 1.41 +41%
Defence 0.96 -4%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other League Stage - 3 fixtures

UEFA Champions League

Before and after this match

Club Brugge KV vs Lens markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Club Brugge KV 70.2% 1.43 β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 72.1% 1.39 β€” β€”
Both teams to score Yes 62.1% 1.61 β€” β€”
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 87.6% 1.14 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Club Brugge KV win 49.9% 2.00 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Club Brugge KV70.2%
Draw17.4%
Lens12.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.572.1%
Under 2.527.9%
Both teams to scoreYes62.1%
No37.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)87.6%
12 (either side)82.6%
X2 (draw or away)29.8%
Handicap -1Club Brugge KV win49.9%
Push (exactly one goal)20.3%
Loss29.8%
Correct score (top 3)2-19.1%
2-08.4%
3-18.0%

Club Brugge KV vs Lens stats

Club Brugge KV and Lens recent form

newest first
Club Brugge KV WWLWLW
Lens LDWLLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Club Brugge KV vs Lens head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards β€” these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Club Brugge KV vs Lens odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 1 Club Brugge KV Predicted score 2 – 1 Medium Bet Now
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