Club Brugge KV
vs
Lens
3 – 0 Full time
| 45′ | Matthieu Udol | ||
| 45′ | Hans Vanaken | ||
| 45′ | Samson BaidooJean-Clair Todibo | ||
| 50′ | Joaquin Seys | ||
| 58′ | Franjo IvanovicOdsonne Édouard | ||
| 58′ | Thorgan HazardFlorian Thauvin | ||
| 61′ | Félix Lemaréchal | ||
| 67′ | Félix LemaréchalHugo Vetlesen | ||
| 70′ | Amadou HaidaraYassine Titraoui | ||
| 72′ | Carlos Forbs | ||
| 73′ | Jan Virgili TenasMamadou Diakhon | ||
| 79′ | Hugo Vetlesen | ||
| 80′ | Michał Skóraś | ||
| 82′ | Nicolo TresoldiRomeo Vermant | ||
| 82′ | Kyriani SabbeHugo Siquet | ||
| 82′ | Carlos ForbsMilan Robberechts | ||
| 82′ | Ruben AguilarKyllian Antonio |
Match stats
| 11 | Shots | 19 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 7 |
| 57 | Possession % | 43 |
| 1 | Corners | 5 |
| 6 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Offsides | 0 |
| 6 | Saves | 2 |
| 603 | Accurate passes | 427 |
Club Brugge KV vs Lens overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Club Brugge KV vs Lens
| Probability | Club Brugge KV | Draw | Lens |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 70.8% | 17.3% | 11.9% |
| Market | 50.4% | 22.6% | 27.0% |
| Final | 55.5% | 21.3% | 23.2% |
| Edge | +5.1% | -1.3% | -3.8% |
Why Club Brugge KV
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.63 vs 1.04.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
- The market prices Club Brugge KV below our published probability: +5.1 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Club Brugge KV and Lens expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.66
Club Brugge KV and Lens attack and defence ratings
Club Brugge KV
Lens
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Club Brugge KV vs Lens: result vs prediction
Club Brugge KV 3 – 0 Lens
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other League Stage - 3 fixtures
- Fenerbahçe v Slavia Praha — match page
- Sabah FA vs Borussia Dortmund — team news & stats
- Liverpool vs Villarreal
- Manchester City v AEK Athens FC — match page
- Paris Saint Germain vs Barcelona — team news & stats
- VfB Stuttgart vs Atletico Madrid
- FC Porto v PSV Eindhoven — match page
- Napoli vs Bodo/Glimt — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Club Brugge KV vs Lens markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Club Brugge KV | 55.5% | 1.80 | +5.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.0% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.6% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 78.7% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Club Brugge KV win | 50.2% | 1.99 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Club Brugge KV | 55.5% |
| Draw | 21.3% | |
| Lens | 23.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 29.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.6% |
| No | 39.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 44.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Club Brugge KV win | 50.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.5% | |
| Loss | 29.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 9.2% |
| 2-0 | 8.8% | |
| 3-1 | 8.0% |
Club Brugge KV vs Lens stats
Club Brugge KV and Lens recent form
| Club Brugge KV |
WWWWWL |
| Lens |
WLWLDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Club Brugge KV vs Lens head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Club Brugge KV vs Lens odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 50.4%, draw 22.6%, away 27.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.94 | 4.36 | 3.68 |
| Bet365 | 1.85 | 4.33 | 3.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.87 | 4.20 | 3.50 |
| Betano | 1.95 | 4.35 | 3.55 |
| Betfair | 1.91 | 4.20 | 3.60 |
| Dafabet | 1.93 | 4.20 | 3.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.89 | 4.25 | 3.58 |
| Pinnacle | 1.89 | 4.33 | 3.71 |
| SBO | 1.87 | 4.09 | 3.35 |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 4.00 | 3.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .