Napoli
vs
Bodo/Glimt
4 – 3 Full time
| 1′ | Matteo Politano | ||
| 27′ | Jens Petter Hauge | ||
| 41′ | Scott McTominay | ||
| 48′ | Frank Anguissa | ||
| 58′ | Noa Lang | ||
| 59′ | Frank AnguissaStanislav Lobotka | ||
| 62′ | Andreas Helmersen | ||
| 75′ | Scott McTominay | ||
| 76′ | Andreas HelmersenOla Brynhildsen | ||
| 79′ | Matteo PolitanoMathias Olivera | ||
| 79′ | Noa LangGiovane Santana Do Nascimento | ||
| 79′ | Leonardo SpinazzolaSam Beukema | ||
| 83′ | Sondre AuklendUlrik Saltnes | ||
| 84′ | Jostein GundersenHaitam Aleesami | ||
| 84′ | Ole Didrik BlombergJoel Mvuka | ||
| 84′ | Fredrik BjorkanIsak Dybvik Maatta | ||
| 86′ | Giovanni Di Lorenzo | ||
| 88′ | Odin Luras Bjortuft | ||
| 90′ | Sondre Fet |
Match stats
| 17 | Shots | 15 |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 43 | Possession % | 57 |
| 2 | Corners | 5 |
| 7 | Fouls | 5 |
| 1 | Offsides | 0 |
| 3 | Saves | 5 |
| 441 | Accurate passes | 601 |
Napoli vs Bodo/Glimt overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Napoli vs Bodo/Glimt
| Probability | Napoli | Draw | Bodo/Glimt |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41.0% | 24.2% | 34.8% |
| Market | 54.3% | 23.7% | 22.0% |
| Final | 51.0% | 23.8% | 25.2% |
| Edge | -3.3% | +0.1% | +3.2% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Napoli and Bodo/Glimt expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.47
Napoli and Bodo/Glimt attack and defence ratings
Napoli
Bodo/Glimt
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Napoli vs Bodo/Glimt: result vs prediction
Napoli 4 – 3 Bodo/Glimt
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other League Stage - 3 fixtures
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- Liverpool vs Villarreal
- Manchester City v AEK Athens FC — match page
- Paris Saint Germain vs Barcelona — team news & stats
- VfB Stuttgart vs Atletico Madrid
- FC Porto v PSV Eindhoven — match page
- Roma vs Slovan Bratislava
Before and after this match
Napoli vs Bodo/Glimt markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Napoli | 51.0% | 1.96 | -3.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.4% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.7% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.2% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.1% | 1.69 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Napoli | 51.0% |
| Draw | 23.8% | |
| Bodo/Glimt | 25.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 32.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.7% |
| No | 31.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 49.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Napoli win | 22.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.6% | |
| Loss | 59.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.3% |
| 2-1 | 8.5% | |
| 1-2 | 7.8% |
Napoli vs Bodo/Glimt stats
Napoli and Bodo/Glimt recent form
| Napoli |
LLWDWL |
| Bodo/Glimt |
WWWWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Napoli and Bodo/Glimt going into this match
Bodo/Glimt record
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Napoli vs Bodo/Glimt head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Napoli vs Bodo/Glimt odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 54.3%, draw 23.7%, away 22.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.82 | 4.20 | 4.41 |
| Bet365 | 1.73 | 4.00 | 4.33 |
| BetVictor | 1.73 | 4.10 | 4.33 |
| Betano | 1.83 | 4.05 | 4.35 |
| Betfair | 1.73 | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| Dafabet | 1.80 | 4.00 | 4.30 |
| Marathonbet | 1.77 | 4.10 | 4.30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.76 | 4.13 | 4.46 |
| SBO | 1.75 | 3.86 | 4.08 |
| William Hill | 1.75 | 3.80 | 4.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .