Venezia
vs
Napoli
1 – 0 Full time
| 49′ | Akor Adams | ||
| 54′ | Lorenzo LuccaRasmus Hojlund | ||
| 54′ | Giovane Santana Do NascimentoAlisson Santos | ||
| 54′ | Billy GilmourKevin De Bruyne | ||
| 61′ | Toma Bašić | ||
| 63′ | John YeboahAlbion Rrahmani | ||
| 63′ | Sam BeukemaMatteo Politano | ||
| 71′ | Toma BašićThorir Johann Helgason | ||
| 71′ | Ridgeciano HapsPasquale Mazzocchi | ||
| 72′ | Matias MorenoJoël Schingtienne | ||
| 80′ | Enrique Pérez Muñoz | ||
| 82′ | Simon SohmLamine Fanne | ||
| 82′ | Leonardo SpinazzolaMathias Olivera |
Match stats
| 9 | Shots | 29 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 10 |
| 29 | Possession % | 71 |
| 0 | Corners | 12 |
| 7 | Fouls | 6 |
| 0 | Offsides | 5 |
| 9 | Saves | 3 |
| 232 | Accurate passes | 657 |
Venezia vs Napoli overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Venezia vs Napoli
| Probability | Venezia | Draw | Napoli |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 24.6% | 23.8% | 51.6% |
| Market | 20.0% | 24.1% | 55.9% |
| Final | 21.1% | 24.0% | 54.8% |
| Edge | +4.6% | -0.3% | -4.2% |
Why Napoli
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.19 vs 1.50.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Venezia and Napoli expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.69
Venezia and Napoli attack and defence ratings
Venezia
Napoli
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Venezia vs Napoli: result vs prediction
Venezia 1 – 0 Napoli
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Venezia vs Napoli markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Napoli | 54.8% | 1.82 | -4.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.2% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 70.6% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 78.9% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 48.4% | 2.07 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Venezia | 21.1% |
| Draw | 24.0% | |
| Napoli | 54.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 28.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 70.6% |
| No | 29.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 45.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 78.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Napoli win | 32.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.3% | |
| Loss | 48.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.9% |
| 1-2 | 9.0% | |
| 2-2 | 6.7% |
Venezia vs Napoli stats
Venezia and Napoli recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Venezia and Napoli going into this match
Venezia record
- They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
Napoli record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
Venezia vs Napoli head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-16 | Venezia | Napoli | Serie A | 0-0 |
| 2024-12-29 | Napoli | Venezia | Serie A | 1-0 |
| 2022-02-06 | Venezia | Napoli | Serie A | 0-2 |
| 2021-08-22 | Napoli | Venezia | Serie A | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Venezia vs Napoli odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 20.2%, draw 23.9%, away 55.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.89 | 4.22 | 1.74 |
| Bet365 | 4.75 | 3.90 | 1.70 |
| BetVictor | 4.75 | 3.90 | 1.70 |
| Betano | 4.60 | 3.95 | 1.72 |
| Betfair | 4.60 | 4.00 | 1.70 |
| Dafabet | 4.70 | 4.10 | 1.73 |
| Marathonbet | 4.75 | 4.10 | 1.69 |
| Pinnacle | 4.91 | 3.98 | 1.72 |
| SBO | 4.08 | 3.53 | 1.67 |
| William Hill | 4.40 | 3.80 | 1.67 |
| pinnacle | 4.44 | 4.15 | 1.70 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
28 snapshots recorded, from .