Atalanta
vs
Venezia
3 – 1 Full time
| 4′ | Franck Kessié | ||
| 6′ | Nikola Krstović | ||
| 8′ | Thierry CorreiaRichie Sagrado | ||
| 18′ | Matias Moreno | ||
| 30′ | Nikola Krstović | ||
| 37′ | Antoine Hainaut | ||
| 42′ | Juan Jesus | ||
| 60′ | Charles De KetelaereLazar Samardzic | ||
| 67′ | Giorgio ScalviniSead Kolašinac | ||
| 67′ | Raoul BellanovaLorenzo Bernasconi | ||
| 76′ | Jonathan RoweNicola Zalewski | ||
| 76′ | Franck KessiéGianluca Gaetano | ||
| 83′ | Toma BašićThorir Johann Helgason | ||
| 83′ | Matias MorenoJoël Schingtienne | ||
| 83′ | Akor AdamsLion Lauberbach | ||
| 87′ | Simon SohmAlbion Rrahmani | ||
| 89′ | Elif Elmas |
Match stats
| 22 | Shots | 19 |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 36 | Possession % | 64 |
| 8 | Corners | 7 |
| 14 | Fouls | 6 |
| 0 | Offsides | 5 |
| 3 | Saves | 7 |
| 275 | Accurate passes | 526 |
Atalanta vs Venezia overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Atalanta vs Venezia
| Probability | Atalanta | Draw | Venezia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34.7% | 28.5% | 36.8% |
| Market | 60.9% | 21.7% | 17.4% |
| Final | 54.3% | 23.4% | 22.2% |
| Edge | -6.5% | +1.7% | +4.9% |
Why Atalanta
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Atalanta and Venezia expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.05
Atalanta and Venezia attack and defence ratings
Atalanta
Venezia
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Atalanta vs Venezia: result vs prediction
Atalanta 3 – 1 Venezia
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Atalanta vs Venezia markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Atalanta | 54.3% | 1.84 | -6.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.7% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.3% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.8% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 65.3% | 1.53 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Atalanta | 54.3% |
| Draw | 23.4% | |
| Venezia | 22.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 41.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.3% |
| No | 36.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 45.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Atalanta win | 17.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.1% | |
| Loss | 65.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.2% |
| 1-2 | 8.5% | |
| 2-1 | 8.3% |
Atalanta vs Venezia stats
Atalanta and Venezia recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Atalanta and Venezia going into this match
Atalanta record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
Venezia record
- They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.
Atalanta vs Venezia head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-01 | Atalanta | Venezia | Serie A | 0-0 |
| 2024-10-20 | Venezia | Atalanta | Serie A | 0-2 |
| 2022-04-23 | Venezia | Atalanta | Serie A | 1-3 |
| 2022-01-12 | Atalanta | Venezia | Coppa Italia | 2-0 |
| 2021-11-30 | Atalanta | Venezia | Serie A | 4-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Atalanta vs Venezia odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 60.9%, draw 21.7%, away 17.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.63 | 4.53 | 5.56 |
| Bet365 | 1.53 | 4.33 | 5.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.53 | 4.40 | 5.50 |
| Betano | 1.62 | 4.40 | 5.60 |
| Betfair | 1.57 | 4.40 | 5.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.57 | 4.50 | 5.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.58 | 4.40 | 5.40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.57 | 4.43 | 5.77 |
| SBO | 1.45 | 4.12 | 5.13 |
| William Hill | 1.57 | 4.00 | 5.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
52 snapshots recorded, from .