UEFA Europa Conference League
·
Full time
·League Stage - 1
Atalanta
vs
Pafos
3 – 1 Full time
| 1′ | E. Elmas | ||
| 18′ | G. Raspadori | ||
| 21′ | G. RaspadoriC. De Ketelaere | ||
| 37′ | David LuizK. Sema | ||
| 44′ | G. Scamacca | ||
| 46′ | D. QuinaA. Brito | ||
| 46′ | BrunoJ. Correia | ||
| 67′ | M. PasalicEderson | ||
| 67′ | N. ZalewskiL. Samardzic | ||
| 69′ | PepeGuga | ||
| 69′ | LeleAnderson Silva | ||
| 80′ | T. KristensenJ. Idele | ||
| 88′ | Biel |
Atalanta
61%
Draw
20%
Pafos
19%
Match stats
| 20 | Shots | 8 |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 65 | Possession % | 35 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 13 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Offsides | 0 |
| 4 | Saves | 4 |
| 721 | Accurate passes | 358 |
Atalanta vs Pafos overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Atalanta vs Pafos
| Probability | Atalanta | Draw | Pafos |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 28.0% | 28.4% | 43.6% |
| Market | 71.8% | 17.8% | 10.4% |
| Final | 60.8% | 20.5% | 18.7% |
| Edge | -10.9% | +2.6% | +8.3% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
91%
2+ goals
75%
3+ goals
48%
No goals
9%
Atalanta and Pafos expected goals
Atalanta
1.13
Pafos
1.47
Total expected goals: 2.60
Atalanta and Pafos attack and defence ratings
Atalanta
Attack
0.87 -13%
Defence
1.14 +14%
Pafos
Attack
1.09 +9%
Defence
0.79 -21%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Atalanta vs Pafos: result vs prediction
Atalanta 3 – 1 Pafos
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other League Stage - 1 fixtures
- FC Lugano v FK Crvena Zvezda — match page
- HNK Hajduk Split v Ajax — match page
- Panathinaikos vs Borac Banja Luka
- Gent vs Aarhus — team news & stats
- Universitatea Craiova vs Getafe — team news & stats
- CSKA Sofia v Monaco — match page
- KuPS vs Trabzonspor
- Mjallby AIF v Inter Club d'Escaldes — match page
Before and after this match
Atalanta vs Pafos markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Atalanta | 60.8% | 1.64 | -10.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 51.7% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.5% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.3% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 72.1% | 1.39 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Atalanta | 60.8% |
| Draw | 20.5% | |
| Pafos | 18.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 48.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 51.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.5% |
| No | 46.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 39.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Atalanta win | 11.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16.4% | |
| Loss | 72.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.6% |
| 0-1 | 9.6% | |
| 1-2 | 9.1% |
Atalanta vs Pafos stats
Atalanta vs Pafos head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Atalanta vs Pafos odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 71.8%, draw 17.8%, away 10.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.33 | 5.42 | 9.95 |
| Bet365 | 1.30 | 5.25 | 9.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.29 | 5.25 | 9.50 |
| Betano | 1.35 | 5.50 | 9.75 |
| Betfair | 1.29 | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.32 | 5.80 | 9.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.30 | 5.05 | 9.30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.34 | 5.31 | 8.97 |
| SBO | 1.31 | 5.03 | 7.24 |
| William Hill | 1.30 | 5.00 | 9.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.31 ▼ -0.14
X
5.25 ▲ +0.92
2
9.00 ▲ +2.67
14 snapshots recorded, from .