Anorthosis
vs
Pafos
Garuda Lions Prediction: Pafos
0 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Anorthosis vs Pafos overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Anorthosis vs Pafos
| Probability | Anorthosis | Draw | Pafos |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 33.0% | 29.6% | 37.4% |
| Market | 16.1% | 22.3% | 61.6% |
| Final | 20.3% | 24.1% | 55.6% |
| Edge | +16.9% | +7.3% | -24.2% |
Why Pafos
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.52, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Anorthosis vs Pafos match preview
Anorthosis faces Pafos in a Cyprus 1. Division matchup, with model probabilities indicating a close contest. Anorthosis has a 33% chance of winning, while Pafos is slightly favored at 37%, with a 30% probability of a draw. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, occurring at a rate of 9%. Both teams have shown mixed recent form, with Anorthosis recording two wins in their last six matches, while Pafos has managed three wins in their last six.
In terms of expected goals, Anorthosis is projected to score 1.20, while Pafos is slightly ahead with 1.29. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals stands at 46%, and both teams scoring is estimated at 52%. Historically, in their last two encounters, Anorthosis has not secured a win, with two draws against Pafos.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Anorthosis and Pafos expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.50
Anorthosis and Pafos attack and defence ratings
Anorthosis
Pafos
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Anorthosis vs Pafos markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Pafos | 55.6% | 1.80 | -24.2% | 1.52 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 54.5% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.1% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 79.7% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 62.3% | 1.61 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Anorthosis | 20.3% |
| Draw | 24.1% | |
| Pafos | 55.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 54.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.1% |
| No | 47.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 44.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 79.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Pafos win | 17.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.2% | |
| Loss | 62.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.1% |
| 0-0 | 9.5% | |
| 0-1 | 9.4% |
Anorthosis vs Pafos stats
Anorthosis and Pafos recent form
| Anorthosis |
LWLLLW |
| Pafos |
LWDWWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Anorthosis vs Pafos head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-21 | Pafos | Anorthosis | Cyprus 1. Division | 0-0 |
| 2025-11-09 | Anorthosis | Pafos | Cyprus 1. Division | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Anorthosis vs Pafos odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 16.1%, draw 22.3%, away 61.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 5.82 | 4.15 | 1.50 |
| Bet365 | 5.75 | 4.00 | 1.50 |
| Betano | 5.80 | 4.15 | 1.52 |
| Betfair | 6.00 | 4.20 | 1.44 |
| Dafabet | 5.60 | 4.10 | 1.51 |
| Marathonbet | 5.75 | 4.15 | 1.49 |
| Pinnacle | 5.63 | 4.16 | 1.52 |
| William Hill | 5.50 | 3.80 | 1.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .