AEL
vs
Omonia 29is Maiou
2 – 1 Full time
| 46′ | François Régis MugheTavares jair | ||
| 52′ | Dimitris ChantakiasAlexandros kaiafas | ||
| 52′ | panyiotis zachariouFergus Tierney | ||
| 59′ | Joao Tavares | ||
| 62′ | Joao TavaresChinedu Geoffrey | ||
| 62′ | kypros neofytouIvan Milosavljevic | ||
| 66′ | Fergus Tierney | ||
| 71′ | Morais MikeDomen Črnigoj | ||
| 71′ | Kelechi NwakaliAnestis Vlachomitros | ||
| 74′ | Luther SinghSergio Conceicao | ||
| 76′ | Stylianos PanteliLuis·Santos | ||
| 81′ | Remi Oudin | ||
| 89′ | Sotiris Fiakas | ||
| 90′ | Stevan JovetićAntreas Karo |
AEL vs Omonia 29is Maiou overview
Garuda Lions analysis: AEL vs Omonia 29is Maiou
| Probability | AEL | Draw | Omonia 29is Maiou |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 40.8% | 24.0% | 35.2% |
| Market | 58.4% | 23.5% | 18.1% |
| Final | 54.0% | 23.6% | 22.4% |
| Edge | -4.4% | +0.1% | +4.3% |
Why AEL
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
AEL and Omonia 29is Maiou expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.52
AEL and Omonia 29is Maiou attack and defence ratings
AEL
Omonia 29is Maiou
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
AEL vs Omonia 29is Maiou: result vs prediction
AEL 2 – 1 Omonia 29is Maiou
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
AEL vs Omonia 29is Maiou markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | AEL | 54.0% | 1.85 | -4.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.3% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.4% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.6% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.5% | 1.68 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | AEL | 54.0% |
| Draw | 23.6% | |
| Omonia 29is Maiou | 22.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 31.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.4% |
| No | 30.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 46.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | AEL win | 22.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.4% | |
| Loss | 59.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.1% |
| 2-1 | 8.4% | |
| 1-2 | 7.7% |
AEL vs Omonia 29is Maiou stats
AEL and Omonia 29is Maiou recent form
| AEL |
WWLWWL |
| Omonia 29is Maiou |
LDDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
AEL vs Omonia 29is Maiou head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-30 | Omonia 29is Maiou | AEL | 1. Division | 0-3 |
| 2024-12-14 | AEL | Omonia 29is Maiou | 1. Division | 1-1 |
| 2024-08-24 | Omonia 29is Maiou | AEL | 1. Division | 2-4 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
AEL vs Omonia 29is Maiou odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 58.4%, draw 23.5%, away 18.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.58 | 4.05 | 5.01 |
| Bet365 | 1.57 | 3.80 | 5.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.55 | 3.90 | 5.25 |
| Betano | 1.62 | 3.85 | 5.30 |
| Betfair | 1.53 | 3.90 | 5.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.60 | 4.10 | 5.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.56 | 4.05 | 5.05 |
| Pinnacle | 1.59 | 3.95 | 5.07 |
| William Hill | 1.57 | 3.70 | 4.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .