AEL
vs
Omonia 29is Maiou
Garuda Lions Prediction: AEL
2 – 1 Predicted score · 8% model probability
AEL vs Omonia 29is Maiou overview
Garuda Lions analysis: AEL vs Omonia 29is Maiou
| Probability | AEL | Draw | Omonia 29is Maiou |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41.3% | 24.0% | 34.8% |
| Market | 58.5% | 23.2% | 18.3% |
| Final | 54.2% | 23.4% | 22.4% |
| Edge | -17.2% | +0.7% | +16.5% |
Why AEL
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.62, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
AEL vs Omonia 29is Maiou match preview
AEL faces Omonia 29is Maiou in a Cyprus 1. Division match with kickoff scheduled for October 11, 2026. The model probabilities indicate a competitive matchup, with AEL holding a 41% chance of victory, while Omonia 29is Maiou has a 35% probability of winning, and a draw is at 24%. The expected goals suggest a slight edge for AEL at 1.84 compared to Omonia's 1.68, indicating a potentially close contest.
Recent form shows AEL with a mixed record of W-W-L-W-W-L, while Omonia 29is Maiou has struggled, recording L-D-D-W in their last four matches. The likelihood of both teams scoring stands at 69%, and there is a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals being scored, reinforcing the expectation of an engaging and high-scoring match.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
AEL and Omonia 29is Maiou expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.52
AEL and Omonia 29is Maiou attack and defence ratings
AEL
Omonia 29is Maiou
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
AEL vs Omonia 29is Maiou markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | AEL | 54.2% | 1.85 | -17.2% | 1.62 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.3% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.4% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.6% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.1% | 1.69 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | AEL | 54.2% |
| Draw | 23.4% | |
| Omonia 29is Maiou | 22.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 31.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.4% |
| No | 30.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 45.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | AEL win | 22.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.5% | |
| Loss | 59.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.1% |
| 2-1 | 8.4% | |
| 1-2 | 7.7% |
AEL vs Omonia 29is Maiou stats
AEL and Omonia 29is Maiou recent form
| AEL |
WWLWWL |
| Omonia 29is Maiou |
LDDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
AEL vs Omonia 29is Maiou head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
AEL vs Omonia 29is Maiou odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 58.5%, draw 23.2%, away 18.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.58 | 4.05 | 5.01 |
| Bet365 | 1.57 | 3.80 | 5.50 |
| Betano | 1.62 | 3.85 | 5.30 |
| Betfair | 1.53 | 3.90 | 5.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.59 | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.56 | 4.05 | 5.05 |
| Pinnacle | 1.54 | 4.07 | 5.42 |
| William Hill | 1.57 | 3.70 | 4.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .