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Cyprus 1. Division · Full time ·Matchday 5

Olympiakos vs Aris

1 – 2 Full time

40′junior rody effaghe
45′Veljko Nikolić
46′Gustavo PajéGedeon Kalulu
46′Veljko NikolićBernardo Pereira Folha
55′Agapios VrikkisAlexandros Lolis
55′Pedro Miguel Esteves SanchoDominik Prokop
57′Henrique Gomes
62′Bruno PazConstantinos christou
62′dennis gaustadWerton
68′Werton
72′Jean Felipenhayson
72′Eduardo KundeZannetos Savva
74′charalampos charalampous
75′Zannetos Savva
80′Werton
84′Anderson Correia
85′Gedeon Kalulu
86′Panagiotis Kynigopoulos
86′Sane mamadoubence szakos
90′junior rody effaghe
90′nhayson
90′Zannetos Savva

GSP Stadium, NicosiaReferee: Kyriakos Athanasiou

Olympiakos 33%
Draw 26%
Aris 41%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Olympiakos vs Aris overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Olympiakos vs Aris

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityOlympiakosDrawAris
Model55.3%23.5%21.2%
Market25.8%26.2%48.0%
Final33.2%25.5%41.3%
Edge+7.4%-0.7%-6.7%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Olympiakos ↓ / Aris → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 7% 11% 6% 2 8% 10% 6% 3 5% 7% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 84%
3+ goals 62%
No goals 5%

Olympiakos and Aris expected goals

Olympiakos 2.00
Aris 1.19

Total expected goals: 3.18

Olympiakos and Aris attack and defence ratings

Olympiakos

Attack 1.10 +10%
Defence 1.09 +9%

Aris

Attack 0.89 -11%
Defence 1.24 +24%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Olympiakos vs Aris: result vs prediction

Olympiakos 1 – 2 Aris

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Cyprus 1. Division

Before and after this match

Olympiakos vs Aris markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Aris 41.3% 2.42 -6.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 61.8% 1.62 — —
Both teams to score Yes 61.0% 1.64 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.5% 1.34 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 78.6% 1.27 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Olympiakos33.2%
Draw25.5%
Aris41.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.561.8%
Under 2.538.2%
Both teams to scoreYes61.0%
No39.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)58.7%
12 (either side)74.5%
X2 (draw or away)66.8%
Handicap -1Aris win8.8%
Push (exactly one goal)12.6%
Loss78.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.8%
2-19.8%
2-08.3%

Olympiakos vs Aris stats

Olympiakos and Aris recent form

newest first
Olympiakos DDDDWW
Aris DWLDLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Olympiakos vs Aris head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

1Olympiakos wins 2Draws 5Aris wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-01-04OlympiakosArisCyprus 1. Division0-0
2025-09-15ArisOlympiakosCyprus 1. Division2-0
2022-12-16OlympiakosAris1. Division0-0
2022-09-02ArisOlympiakos1. Division5-0
2021-12-03ArisOlympiakos1. Division1-0
2021-08-22OlympiakosAris1. Division1-2
2019-03-29OlympiakosAris2. Division0-2
2018-11-30ArisOlympiakos2. Division2-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Olympiakos vs Aris odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 25.8%, draw 26.2%, away 48.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 3.50 3.50 1.97
Bet365 3.90 3.50 1.90
BetVictor 3.70 3.50 1.87
Betano 3.70 3.45 1.95
Betfair 3.50 3.50 1.90
Dafabet 3.55 3.55 1.98
Marathonbet 3.48 3.50 1.95
Pinnacle 3.72 3.55 1.89
William Hill 3.50 3.25 1.91

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.55 ▲ +0.13
X 3.50 ▲ +0.10
2 1.91 ▼ -0.09

13 snapshots recorded, from .