Apoel Nicosia
vs
Nea Salamis
2 – 1 Full time
| 23′ | Fabricio Pedrozo | ||
| 46′ | Jordi QuintillàBrahim Konate | ||
| 54′ | Aldair Balde | ||
| 61′ | Filip ĐuričićStavros Georgiou | ||
| 62′ | Brahim Konate | ||
| 63′ | Panagiotis LoukaDarío Poveda | ||
| 63′ | elia konstantinosandreas panagiotou | ||
| 67′ | Antonín Barák | ||
| 73′ | Joan Sastre | ||
| 75′ | Alberto Varo | ||
| 75′ | Joan SastreMarquinhos | ||
| 75′ | Anastasios BakasetasDaniel Mancini | ||
| 76′ | Giannis GerolemouVasilis Lampropoulos | ||
| 78′ | Konstantinos Stafylidis | ||
| 81′ | Samuel GrandsirBraydon Manu | ||
| 90′ | Dalcio | ||
| 90′ | Marquinhos | ||
| 90′ | Antonín BarákFacundo Pérez | ||
| 90′ | Fabricio PedrozoStylianos Vrontis |
Apoel Nicosia vs Nea Salamis overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Apoel Nicosia vs Nea Salamis
| Probability | Apoel Nicosia | Draw | Nea Salamis |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41.3% | 22.7% | 35.9% |
| Market | 60.7% | 23.2% | 16.1% |
| Final | 55.8% | 23.1% | 21.1% |
| Edge | -4.8% | -0.1% | +4.9% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Apoel Nicosia and Nea Salamis expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.83
Apoel Nicosia and Nea Salamis attack and defence ratings
Apoel Nicosia
Nea Salamis
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Apoel Nicosia vs Nea Salamis: result vs prediction
Apoel Nicosia 2 – 1 Nea Salamis
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Apoel Nicosia vs Nea Salamis markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Apoel Nicosia | 55.8% | 1.79 | -4.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 73.6% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 73.4% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.9% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.9% | 1.70 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Apoel Nicosia | 55.8% |
| Draw | 23.1% | |
| Nea Salamis | 21.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 73.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 26.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 73.4% |
| No | 26.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 44.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Apoel Nicosia win | 23.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.9% | |
| Loss | 58.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 8.7% |
| 2-1 | 7.9% | |
| 1-2 | 7.3% |
Apoel Nicosia vs Nea Salamis stats
Apoel Nicosia and Nea Salamis recent form
| Apoel Nicosia |
DLWLLL |
| Nea Salamis |
WLLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Apoel Nicosia vs Nea Salamis head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-08 | Nea Salamis | Apoel Nicosia | 1. Division | 1-1 |
| 2024-09-22 | Apoel Nicosia | Nea Salamis | 1. Division | 3-1 |
| 2024-01-26 | Nea Salamis | Apoel Nicosia | 1. Division | 0-4 |
| 2023-10-21 | Apoel Nicosia | Nea Salamis | 1. Division | 1-0 |
| 2023-03-06 | Apoel Nicosia | Nea Salamis | 1. Division | 3-0 |
| 2022-12-03 | Nea Salamis | Apoel Nicosia | 1. Division | 1-3 |
| 2021-09-22 | Apoel Nicosia | Nea Salamis | Cup | 2-0 |
| 2021-05-20 | Apoel Nicosia | Nea Salamis | 1. Division | 0-0 |
| 2021-04-04 | Nea Salamis | Apoel Nicosia | 1. Division | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Apoel Nicosia vs Nea Salamis odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 60.7%, draw 23.2%, away 16.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.53 | 4.00 | 5.69 |
| Bet365 | 1.53 | 3.90 | 5.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.50 | 3.90 | 6.00 |
| Betano | 1.47 | 4.10 | 6.90 |
| Betfair | 1.44 | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.53 | 4.10 | 5.80 |
| Marathonbet | 1.51 | 4.00 | 5.75 |
| Pinnacle | 1.53 | 3.99 | 5.76 |
| William Hill | 1.53 | 3.70 | 5.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .