Apollon Limassol
vs
Apoel Nicosia
2 – 2 Full time
| 6′ | G. Rodrigues | ||
| 13′ | K. Stafylidis | ||
| 18′ | G. N. Angelopoulos | ||
| 43′ | K. Laifis | ||
| 46′ | Gabriel MaioliF. Djuricic | ||
| 53′ | J. Kvida | ||
| 62′ | F. Pedrozo | ||
| 64′ | S. VrontisA. Barak | ||
| 68′ | E. AiwuI. Ugbo | ||
| 69′ | B. ThomasJ. Asoro | ||
| 74′ | S. GeorgiouD. Limnios | ||
| 78′ | N. Papadopoulos | ||
| 78′ | K. Stafylidis | ||
| 80′ | F. Pedrozo | ||
| 83′ | G. N. AngelopoulosM. Degenek | ||
| 83′ | A. BakasetasF. Perez | ||
| 88′ | L. Konomis | ||
| 90′ | N. Papadopoulos | ||
| 90′ | G. MalekkidisK. Balogiannis |
Apollon Limassol vs Apoel Nicosia overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Apollon Limassol vs Apoel Nicosia
| Probability | Apollon Limassol | Draw | Apoel Nicosia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 61.2% | 20.2% | 18.6% |
| Market | 43.6% | 28.7% | 27.7% |
| Final | 48.0% | 26.6% | 25.4% |
| Edge | +17.6% | -8.5% | -9.1% |
Why Apollon Limassol
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.40 vs 1.30.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Apollon Limassol below the model: +17.6 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Apollon Limassol and Apoel Nicosia expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.70
Apollon Limassol and Apoel Nicosia attack and defence ratings
Apollon Limassol
Apoel Nicosia
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Apollon Limassol vs Apoel Nicosia: result vs prediction
Apollon Limassol 2 – 2 Apoel Nicosia
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
Apollon Limassol vs Apoel Nicosia markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Apollon Limassol | 48.0% | 2.08 | +17.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.5% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.8% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.6% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Apollon Limassol win | 40.4% | 2.47 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Apollon Limassol | 48.0% |
| Draw | 26.6% | |
| Apoel Nicosia | 25.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 28.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.8% |
| No | 33.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 52.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Apollon Limassol win | 40.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.7% | |
| Loss | 38.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 9.3% |
| 1-1 | 8.5% | |
| 3-1 | 7.4% |
Apollon Limassol vs Apoel Nicosia stats
Apollon Limassol and Apoel Nicosia recent form
| Apollon Limassol |
DWDLWW |
| Apoel Nicosia |
LWLLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Apollon Limassol vs Apoel Nicosia head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | Apollon Limassol | Apoel Nicosia | Cyprus 1. Division | 2-0 |
| 2026-04-29 | Apoel Nicosia | Apollon Limassol | Cup | 0-0 |
| 2026-04-22 | Apollon Limassol | Apoel Nicosia | Cup | 4-2 |
| 2026-04-14 | Apoel Nicosia | Apollon Limassol | Cyprus 1. Division | 2-3 |
| 2026-01-18 | Apollon Limassol | Apoel Nicosia | Cyprus 1. Division | 2-1 |
| 2025-09-28 | Apoel Nicosia | Apollon Limassol | Cyprus 1. Division | 2-0 |
| 2025-08-09 | Apoel Nicosia | Apollon Limassol | Friendlies Clubs | 1-2 |
| 2025-04-26 | Apollon Limassol | Apoel Nicosia | 1. Division | 0-0 |
| 2025-03-29 | Apoel Nicosia | Apollon Limassol | 1. Division | 1-1 |
| 2025-02-08 | Apoel Nicosia | Apollon Limassol | 1. Division | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Apollon Limassol vs Apoel Nicosia odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 43.6%, draw 28.7%, away 27.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.14 | 3.20 | 3.34 |
| Bet365 | 2.00 | 3.30 | 3.50 |
| BetVictor | 2.10 | 3.30 | 3.20 |
| Betano | 2.18 | 3.15 | 3.40 |
| Betfair | 2.00 | 3.30 | 3.25 |
| Marathonbet | 2.12 | 3.20 | 3.32 |
| Pinnacle | 2.11 | 3.25 | 3.38 |
| SBO | 2.12 | 2.87 | 2.84 |
| William Hill | 2.10 | 3.00 | 3.25 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .