Cyprus 1. Division · Full time ·Matchday 3

Anorthosis vs Apoel Nicosia

2 – 1 Full time

26′Kiko
46′I. AvramidisF. Perez
46′D. LimniosA. Bakasetas
51′A. Bakasetas
54′Gabriel Furtado
59′A. Da CruzRafa Lopes
63′A. BarakS. Vrontis
70′K. ArtymatasA. Karamanolis
70′A. ChrysostomouB. Dione
72′G. N. AngelopoulosA. Garcia
77′B. Dione
85′A. Bakasetas
86′S. MiddendorpS. Thandi
86′T. KissM. Ilia
90′Rafa Lopes
90′Rafa Lopes

Antonis Papadopoulos Stadium, LarnacaReferee: C. Theouli

Anorthosis 29%
Draw 26%
Apoel Nicosia 45%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Anorthosis vs Apoel Nicosia overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Anorthosis vs Apoel Nicosia

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAnorthosisDrawApoel Nicosia
Model51.5%25.0%23.5%
Market21.4%26.5%52.1%
Final29.0%26.1%44.9%
Edge+30.1%-1.5%-28.6%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Anorthosis ↓ / Apoel Nicosia → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 1 8% 12% 6% 2 8% 10% 3 6% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 81%
3+ goals 58%
No goals 6%

Anorthosis and Apoel Nicosia expected goals

Anorthosis 1.83
Apoel Nicosia 1.18

Total expected goals: 3.02

Anorthosis and Apoel Nicosia attack and defence ratings

Anorthosis

Attack 1.02 +2%
Defence 0.92 -8%

Apoel Nicosia

Attack 1.06 +6%
Defence 1.22 +22%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Anorthosis vs Apoel Nicosia: result vs prediction

Anorthosis 2 – 1 Apoel Nicosia

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 3 fixtures

Cyprus 1. Division

Before and after this match

Anorthosis vs Apoel Nicosia markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Apoel Nicosia 44.9% 2.23 -28.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 58.1% 1.72 — —
Both teams to score Yes 59.4% 1.68 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.9% 1.35 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 76.5% 1.31 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Anorthosis29.0%
Draw26.1%
Apoel Nicosia44.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.558.1%
Under 2.541.9%
Both teams to scoreYes59.4%
No40.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)55.1%
12 (either side)73.9%
X2 (draw or away)71.0%
Handicap -1Apoel Nicosia win9.7%
Push (exactly one goal)13.8%
Loss76.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.7%
2-19.7%
2-08.2%

Anorthosis vs Apoel Nicosia stats

Anorthosis and Apoel Nicosia recent form

newest first
Anorthosis LLLWWW
Apoel Nicosia WLLLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Anorthosis vs Apoel Nicosia head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Anorthosis wins 4Draws 4Apoel Nicosia wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-08-16AnorthosisApoel NicosiaFriendlies Clubs1-3
2026-03-08Apoel NicosiaAnorthosisCyprus 1. Division0-2
2025-11-29AnorthosisApoel NicosiaCyprus 1. Division1-1
2025-02-03AnorthosisApoel Nicosia1. Division2-2
2024-10-28Apoel NicosiaAnorthosis1. Division2-0
2024-04-07Apoel NicosiaAnorthosis1. Division0-2
2024-02-25AnorthosisApoel Nicosia1. Division0-0
2024-01-06Apoel NicosiaAnorthosis1. Division1-0
2023-09-23AnorthosisApoel Nicosia1. Division1-1
2022-12-17Apoel NicosiaAnorthosis1. Division1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Anorthosis vs Apoel Nicosia odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 21.7%, draw 26.4%, away 51.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 4.54 3.48 1.77
Bet365 4.20 3.60 1.73
BetVictor 4.33 3.50 1.75
Betano 4.30 3.60 1.78
Betfair 4.20 3.50 1.73
Dafabet 4.10 3.60 1.79
Marathonbet 4.55 3.48 1.75
Pinnacle 4.32 3.46 1.79
SBO 3.71 3.08 1.81
William Hill 4.20 3.10 1.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 4.30 ▼ -0.03
X 3.48 ▼ -0.12
2 1.77 ▲ +0.04

9 snapshots recorded, from .