Cyprus 1. Division · Full time ·Matchday 3

Karmiotissa vs Omonia Aradippou

1 – 1 Full time

21′N. Ouammou
41′M. Bajunovic
59′K. EvripidouC. Makosso
59′K. AnthimouA. Plumain
65′P. PsychasX. Tabaku
65′M. BajunovicM. Elhmidi
68′A. El BouchataouiP. Polykarpou
76′M. KokkinoftasJ. Pawirodihardjo
88′G. Pontikos
90′B. PetrovicU. Garcia
90′Patrick LuanA. Argyriou
90′M. ElhmidiI. Savvidis

Stelios Kyriakidis, PaphosReferee: Nikolas Liotatis, Cyprus

Karmiotissa 32%
Draw 29%
Omonia Aradippou 40%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Karmiotissa vs Omonia Aradippou overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Karmiotissa vs Omonia Aradippou

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityKarmiotissaDrawOmonia Aradippou
Model31.5%29.1%39.4%
Market31.6%28.6%39.8%
Final31.6%28.7%39.7%
Edge-0.1%+0.5%-0.4%

Confidence: Low

Why Omonia Aradippou

  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Karmiotissa ↓ / Omonia Aradipp → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 9% 7% 1 8% 14% 9% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 74%
3+ goals 47%
No goals 9%

Karmiotissa and Omonia Aradippou expected goals

Karmiotissa 1.19
Omonia Aradippou 1.36

Total expected goals: 2.55

Karmiotissa and Omonia Aradippou attack and defence ratings

Karmiotissa

Attack 0.94 -6%
Defence 1.24 +24%

Omonia Aradippou

Attack 0.91 -9%
Defence 0.86 -14%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Karmiotissa vs Omonia Aradippou: result vs prediction

Karmiotissa 1 – 1 Omonia Aradippou

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 3 fixtures

Cyprus 1. Division

Before and after this match

Karmiotissa vs Omonia Aradippou markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Omonia Aradippou 39.7% 2.52 -0.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 53.0% 1.89 — —
Both teams to score Yes 53.0% 1.89 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 71.3% 1.40 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 60.6% 1.65 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Karmiotissa31.6%
Draw28.7%
Omonia Aradippou39.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.547.0%
Under 2.553.0%
Both teams to scoreYes53.0%
No47.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)60.3%
12 (either side)71.3%
X2 (draw or away)68.4%
Handicap -1Omonia Aradippou win18.8%
Push (exactly one goal)20.6%
Loss60.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.9%
0-19.3%
0-09.1%

Karmiotissa vs Omonia Aradippou stats

Karmiotissa and Omonia Aradippou recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 2 completed matches.

Karmiotissa vs Omonia Aradippou head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

7Karmiotissa wins 2Draws 1Omonia Aradippou wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-07-25Omonia AradippouKarmiotissaFriendlies Clubs3-4
2025-05-05KarmiotissaOmonia Aradippou1. Division1-0
2025-01-13KarmiotissaOmonia Aradippou1. Division3-1
2024-09-28Omonia AradippouKarmiotissa1. Division1-1
2022-05-07KarmiotissaOmonia Aradippou2. Division4-0
2022-01-26Omonia AradippouKarmiotissa2. Division1-1
2019-12-18Omonia AradippouKarmiotissa2. Division0-1
2019-10-19KarmiotissaOmonia Aradippou2. Division1-0
2019-03-16Omonia AradippouKarmiotissa2. Division5-2
2018-11-24KarmiotissaOmonia Aradippou2. Division1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Karmiotissa vs Omonia Aradippou odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 31.6%, draw 28.7%, away 39.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.99 3.22 2.34
Bet365 3.00 3.20 2.25
BetVictor 2.90 3.20 2.30
Betano 3.05 3.20 2.32
Betfair 2.80 3.25 2.30
Dafabet 2.70 3.20 2.55
Marathonbet 2.94 3.22 2.34
Pinnacle 2.89 3.26 2.35
SBO 2.78 3.01 2.18
William Hill 2.90 3.00 2.30

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.90 ▲ +0.25
X 3.20 ▲ +0.02
2 2.30 ▼ -0.25

9 snapshots recorded, from .