Garuda Lions
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Cyprus 1. Division · Full time ·Matchday 2

Omonia 29is Maiou vs Karmiotissa

2 – 2 Full time

2′Patrick Luan
31′M. Kokkinoftas
37′Facundo Garcia
41′Alastair Reynolds
45′Nassim Ouammou
45′Alastair Reynolds
45′Alastair Reynolds
46′D. ChantakiasR. Fernandes
54′S. Fiakas
60′FacuS. Tsoukalas
61′Stavros Tsoukalas
63′Panagiotis Tachtsidis
65′A. MartynovM. Bajunovic
65′P. PsychasI. Savvidis
65′N. OuammouR. Garcia
67′R. Fernandes
77′Sadio Dembélé
80′F. TierneyM. Antoniou
80′M. KokkinoftasM. Theocharous
85′Steve Ambri
88′K. PattichisP. Zachariou
88′S. FiakasM. Sotiriou
89′Matej Senić
90′Julio César
90′Patrick LuanS. Panagiotou

Katokopia Stadium, PeristeronaReferee: K. Fotiou

Omonia 29is Maiou 47%
Draw 26%
Karmiotissa 28%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Omonia 29is Maiou vs Karmiotissa overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Omonia 29is Maiou vs Karmiotissa

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityOmonia 29is MaiouDrawKarmiotissa
Model66.7%21.0%12.3%
Market39.8%27.5%32.7%
Final46.5%25.9%27.6%
Edge+26.9%-6.6%-20.3%

Confidence: Low

Why Omonia 29is Maiou

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.14 vs 0.83.
  • Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 1 vs 0 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Omonia 29is Maiou below the model: +26.9 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Omonia 29is Ma ↓ / Karmiotissa → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 1 10% 10% 2 12% 10% 3 8% 7% 4+ 7% 6%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 81%
3+ goals 57%
No goals 6%

Omonia 29is Maiou and Karmiotissa expected goals

Omonia 29is Maiou 2.14
Karmiotissa 0.83

Total expected goals: 2.97

Omonia 29is Maiou and Karmiotissa attack and defence ratings

Omonia 29is Maiou

Attack 1.21 +21%
Defence 0.83 -17%

Karmiotissa

Attack 0.83 -17%
Defence 1.21 +21%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Omonia 29is Maiou vs Karmiotissa: result vs prediction

Omonia 29is Maiou 2 – 2 Karmiotissa

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 2 fixtures

Cyprus 1. Division

Before and after this match

Omonia 29is Maiou vs Karmiotissa markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Omonia 29is Maiou 46.5% 2.15 +26.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 57.0% 1.76 — —
Both teams to score Yes 50.5% 1.98 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.1% 1.35 — —
Handicap -1 Omonia 29is Maiou win 43.5% 2.30 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Omonia 29is Maiou46.5%
Draw25.9%
Karmiotissa27.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.557.0%
Under 2.543.0%
Both teams to scoreYes50.5%
No49.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)72.4%
12 (either side)74.1%
X2 (draw or away)53.5%
Handicap -1Omonia 29is Maiou win43.5%
Push (exactly one goal)23.2%
Loss33.3%
Correct score (top 3)2-011.8%
1-010.1%
1-110.0%

Omonia 29is Maiou vs Karmiotissa stats

Omonia 29is Maiou and Karmiotissa recent form

newest first
Omonia 29is Maiou W
Karmiotissa L

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 1 completed matches.

Omonia 29is Maiou vs Karmiotissa head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

2Omonia 29is Maiou wins 4Draws 2Karmiotissa wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-14Omonia 29is MaiouKarmiotissa2. Division2-2
2026-01-24KarmiotissaOmonia 29is Maiou2. Division1-1
2025-11-02Omonia 29is MaiouKarmiotissa2. Division3-2
2025-04-28KarmiotissaOmonia 29is Maiou1. Division2-0
2025-01-08Omonia 29is MaiouKarmiotissa1. Division1-2
2024-09-20KarmiotissaOmonia 29is Maiou1. Division1-1
2022-01-23Omonia 29is MaiouKarmiotissa2. Division1-1
2021-09-19KarmiotissaOmonia 29is Maiou2. Division0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Omonia 29is Maiou vs Karmiotissa odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 39.8%, draw 27.5%, away 32.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.25 3.30 2.80
1xBet 2.34 3.45 2.81
Bet365 2.30 3.30 2.80
BetVictor 2.30 3.30 2.88
Betano 2.35 3.35 2.87
Betfair 2.20 3.30 2.80
Dafabet 2.33 3.40 2.90
Marathonbet 2.32 3.45 2.79
Pinnacle 2.31 3.53 2.76
SBO 2.18 3.00 2.63
Superbet 2.10 3.40 3.35
William Hill 2.25 3.25 2.75

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.30 ▲ +0.01
X 3.33 —
2 2.80 ▼ -0.10

7 snapshots recorded, from .