Karmiotissa
vs
Pafos
0 – 3 Full time
| 45′ | D. Quina | ||
| 48′ | N. Moumi Ngamaleu | ||
| 53′ | M. BajunovicS. Dembele | ||
| 53′ | D. A. ReynoldsI. Savvidis | ||
| 60′ | Anderson Silva | ||
| 77′ | Anderson SilvaLele | ||
| 77′ | PepeI. Sunjic | ||
| 81′ | P. PsychasM. Theocharous | ||
| 88′ | GugaC. Efzona | ||
| 88′ | N. Moumi NgamaleuM. Kais | ||
| 88′ | N. IoannouK. Ioannou | ||
| 90′ | M. KokkinoftasS. Panagiotou | ||
| 90′ | N. OuammouA. Spanos |
Karmiotissa vs Pafos overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Karmiotissa vs Pafos
| Probability | Karmiotissa | Draw | Pafos |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 43.4% | 27.9% | 28.7% |
| Market | 7.4% | 15.7% | 77.0% |
| Final | 16.4% | 18.7% | 64.9% |
| Edge | +36.0% | +12.2% | -48.3% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Karmiotissa and Pafos expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.00
Karmiotissa and Pafos attack and defence ratings
Karmiotissa
Pafos
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Karmiotissa vs Pafos: result vs prediction
Karmiotissa 0 – 3 Pafos
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
Karmiotissa vs Pafos markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Pafos | 64.9% | 1.54 | -48.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.5% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.3% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 83.6% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 66.7% | 1.50 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Karmiotissa | 16.4% |
| Draw | 18.7% | |
| Pafos | 64.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 49.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.3% |
| No | 44.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 35.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 81.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 83.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Pafos win | 15.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.5% | |
| Loss | 66.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.3% |
| 2-1 | 9.1% | |
| 1-0 | 9.0% |
Karmiotissa vs Pafos stats
Karmiotissa and Pafos recent form
| Karmiotissa |
no matches on record |
| Pafos |
WDDLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Karmiotissa vs Pafos head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Karmiotissa vs Pafos odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 7.4%, draw 15.7%, away 77.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 14.20 | 5.90 | 1.20 |
| Bet365 | 9.50 | 6.00 | 1.20 |
| Betano | 12.00 | 5.90 | 1.22 |
| Betfair | 13.00 | 6.00 | 1.15 |
| Dafabet | 12.00 | 5.80 | 1.22 |
| Marathonbet | 14.00 | 5.90 | 1.19 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .