Pafos
vs
Dinamo Tirana
4 – 2 Full time
Pafos vs Dinamo Tirana overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Pafos vs Dinamo Tirana
| Probability | Pafos | Draw | Dinamo Tirana |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37.5% | 30.2% | 32.3% |
| Market | 72.6% | 17.7% | 9.8% |
| Final | 63.8% | 20.8% | 15.4% |
| Edge | -35.1% | +12.5% | +22.6% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Pafos and Dinamo Tirana expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.41
Pafos and Dinamo Tirana attack and defence ratings
Pafos
Dinamo Tirana
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Pafos vs Dinamo Tirana: result vs prediction
Pafos 4 – 2 Dinamo Tirana
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Playoff round fixtures
Before and after this match
Pafos vs Dinamo Tirana markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Pafos | 63.8% | 1.57 | -35.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 56.7% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.2% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.6% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 62.4% | 1.60 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Pafos | 63.8% |
| Draw | 20.8% | |
| Dinamo Tirana | 15.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 56.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.2% |
| No | 49.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 36.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Pafos win | 17.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.5% | |
| Loss | 62.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.3% |
| 0-0 | 10.3% | |
| 1-0 | 10.0% |
Pafos vs Dinamo Tirana stats
Pafos and Dinamo Tirana recent form
| Pafos |
DDLWLW |
| Dinamo Tirana |
LDWLWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Pafos and Dinamo Tirana going into this match
Dinamo Tirana record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Pafos vs Dinamo Tirana head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Dinamo Tirana | Pafos | UEFA Europa Conference League | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Pafos vs Dinamo Tirana odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 72.6%, draw 17.7%, away 9.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.28 | 5.30 | 10.00 |
| 1xBet | 1.29 | 5.74 | 11.10 |
| Bet365 | 1.28 | 4.75 | 10.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.25 | 5.50 | 10.50 |
| Betano | 1.34 | 5.40 | 10.75 |
| Betfair | 1.20 | 5.50 | 9.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.31 | 5.60 | 9.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.27 | 5.25 | 9.90 |
| Pinnacle | 1.29 | 5.33 | 9.03 |
| SBO | 1.27 | 4.60 | 7.43 |
| Superbet | 1.30 | 5.30 | 8.50 |
| Unibet | 1.30 | 5.10 | 9.50 |
| William Hill | 1.30 | 4.80 | 9.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .